Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge v Royal Antwerp

Início: 2026-09-13 11:30 UTC

Final: Club Brugge 3–1 Royal Antwerp

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge (Local)

Previsão 73.57%1.36odd justa
EV -3.62%
Vantagem -2.76%
Kelly -11.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.09%73.44%73.60%75.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.261.251.3183.33%79.62%80.00%76.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Royal Antwerp (Visitante)

Previsão 10.33%9.68odd justa
EV +13.68%
Vantagem +1.24%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescimento +0.187%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.62%10.43%10.36%12.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.259.199.1011.0013.79%10.88%10.99%9.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 16.09%6.21odd justa
EV +1.71%
Vantagem +0.271%
Kelly +0.322%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.04%16.13%16.05%18.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.745.756.3220.00%17.42%17.39%15.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Club Brugge (Local): 73.57%; Royal Antwerp (Visitante): 10.33%; Empate: 16.09%. Para Royal Antwerp (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 9.68. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 11.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +13.68%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.83%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.76%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.41%EV +0.586%E +0.094%K +0.112%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-13 11:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.83%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.76%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.41%EV +0.586%E +0.094%K +0.112%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-13 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.84%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.62%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.54%EV -1.83%E -0.300%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 11:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.51%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.51%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:01
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.51%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:01
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.51%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:01
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.51%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%10.29I 9.72%NM 9.32%EV +6.34%E +0.616%K +0.682%G +0.043%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.17%EV +1.71%E +0.271%K +0.322%G +0.006%4.3%2026-09-13 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -16.31%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:19
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -16.31%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:25
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.98%EV -7.30%E -5.79%K -28.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:20
Suprabets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.03%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.23%EV -8.27%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 11:02
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -9.51%E -7.73%K -41.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:00
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -10.98%E -9.07%K -52.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -10.98%E -9.07%K -52.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 11:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -10.98%E -9.07%K -52.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 11:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.71%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.85%EV -2.86%E -0.304%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.71%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.85%EV -2.86%E -0.304%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:25
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.71%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.85%EV -2.86%E -0.304%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:25
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -4.41%E -0.476%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 11:06
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.66%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.41%EV -4.92%E -0.535%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.93%EV -3.28%E -0.545%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 11:25
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 11:25
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 11:25
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 11:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -0.219%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 10:55
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 11:20
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 11:20
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.71%E -9.76%K -58.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.71%E -9.76%K -58.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 11:00
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.68%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.94%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.96%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.68%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.27%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.00%EV -11.71%E -9.76%K -58.57%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.15%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 11:00
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:25
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 11:25
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.83%E -4.55%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -19.53%E -3.91%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:05
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -14.74%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.50%EV -9.51%E -7.73%K -41.33%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.29%EV -18.36%E -2.32%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -19.91%E -2.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -15.51%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.03%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -22.49%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -6.66%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.69%EV -7.30%E -5.79%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -25.08%E -3.46%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.85%EV -8.27%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.37%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%0.7%2026-09-13 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.37%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%0.7%2026-09-13 11:20
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.37%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%0.7%2026-09-13 11:25
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.25%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.90%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85%1.1%2026-09-13 11:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-09-13 11:25
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.18%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%1.8%2026-09-13 11:20