Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge v Royal Antwerp

Inicio: 2026-09-13 11:30 UTC

Final: Club Brugge 3–1 Royal Antwerp

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge (Local)

Predicción 73.57%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -2.76%
Kelly -11.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.09%73.44%73.60%75.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.261.251.3183.33%79.62%80.00%76.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Royal Antwerp (Visitante)

Predicción 10.33%9.68momio equitativo
EV +13.68%
Ventaja +1.24%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.187%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.62%10.43%10.36%12.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.259.199.1011.0013.79%10.88%10.99%9.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 16.09%6.21momio equitativo
EV +1.71%
Ventaja +0.271%
Kelly +0.322%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.04%16.13%16.05%18.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.745.756.3220.00%17.42%17.39%15.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Club Brugge (Local): 73.57%; Royal Antwerp (Visitante): 10.33%; Empate: 16.09%. Para Royal Antwerp (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.68. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 11.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +13.68%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.83%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.76%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.41%EV +0.586%E +0.094%K +0.112%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-13 11:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.83%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.76%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.41%EV +0.586%E +0.094%K +0.112%G +0.001%3.8%2026-09-13 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.84%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.62%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.54%EV -1.83%E -0.300%K -0.359%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 11:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.51%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:01
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.51%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:01
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.51%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:01
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.51%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:01
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.51%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%10.29I 9.72%NM 9.32%EV +6.34%E +0.616%K +0.682%G +0.043%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.17%EV +1.71%E +0.271%K +0.322%G +0.006%4.3%2026-09-13 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -16.31%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:19
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.11%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -16.31%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:25
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.98%EV -7.30%E -5.79%K -28.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.81%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:20
Suprabets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.03%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.23%EV -8.27%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 11:02
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.12%EV -9.51%E -7.73%K -41.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:00
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.28%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -10.98%E -9.07%K -52.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -10.98%E -9.07%K -52.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 11:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -10.98%E -9.07%K -52.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -1.82%E -0.192%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-13 11:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.71%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.85%EV -2.86%E -0.304%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.71%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.85%EV -2.86%E -0.304%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:25
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.71%EV -8.77%E -7.07%K -36.54%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.85%EV -2.86%E -0.304%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:25
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.63%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -4.41%E -0.476%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 11:06
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.66%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.41%EV -4.92%E -0.535%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.93%EV -3.28%E -0.545%K -0.654%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 11:25
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 11:25
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 11:25
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 11:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -0.219%E -0.035%K -0.042%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 10:55
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 11:20
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 11:20
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.71%E -9.76%K -58.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -11.71%E -9.76%K -58.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -6.99%E -0.777%K -0.874%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 11:00
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.10%EV -3.62%E -2.76%K -11.68%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.94%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.96%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.68%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.27%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.05%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 11:25
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.00%EV -11.71%E -9.76%K -58.57%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.15%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.86%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 11:00
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -3.44%E -0.573%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -7.46%E -1.30%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:25
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.09%E -3.95%K -17.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 11:25
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.83%E -4.55%K -20.81%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -19.53%E -3.91%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:05
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.24%E -8.40%K -46.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -4.36%E -3.35%K -14.52%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -14.74%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -9.88%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.50%EV -9.51%E -7.73%K -41.33%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.29%EV -18.36%E -2.32%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -11.48%E -2.09%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -8.04%E -6.43%K -32.14%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -19.91%E -2.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -15.51%E -2.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.03%EV -6.56%E -5.17%K -24.31%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -22.49%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -6.66%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.69%EV -7.30%E -5.79%K -28.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -25.08%E -3.46%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.85%EV -8.27%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 11:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.37%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%0.7%2026-09-13 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.37%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%0.7%2026-09-13 11:20
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.37%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.03%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%0.7%2026-09-13 11:25
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 77.25%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.90%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.85%1.1%2026-09-13 11:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-09-13 11:25
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.18%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%1.8%2026-09-13 11:20