Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.38
assuming max odds 9.99
assuming max odds 5.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Brugge (Local): 70.10%; Leuven (Visit): 11.96%; Draw: 17.94%. For Leuven (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.36. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.52%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.94%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 9.99I 10.01%NM 9.71%EV +19.52%E +1.95%K +2.17%G +0.424% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.35%EV +0.262%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.16%EV -5.37%E -3.97%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 8.38I 11.93%NM 11.46%EV +0.262%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.37%EV -0.814%E -0.147%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.75%EV -5.37%E -3.97%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV -1.29%E -0.157%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.07%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -1.29%E -0.157%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.78%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.62%EV -3.09%E -0.381%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -4.04%E -0.756%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.78%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.62%EV -3.09%E -0.381%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -4.04%E -0.756%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.70%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV -3.09%E -0.381%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 17:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.30%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV -8.53%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.30%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV -8.53%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 16:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV +2.24%E +0.392%K +0.476%G +0.011% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.38%E -9.90%K -49.50%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.22%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -5.48%E -0.694%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 11:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.62%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 17:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -5.37%E -3.97%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -5.37%E -3.97%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.59%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.57%E -7.42%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.80%E -3.12%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.80%E -3.12%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.38%E -9.90%K -49.50%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 68.82%EV -14.48%E -11.87%K -65.81%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.19%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.99%EV -24.67%E -5.87%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-02-21 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -13.26%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.62%EV -11.67%E -9.27%K -44.90%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -13.26%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-21 17:07 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-21 17:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.08%EV -9.57%E -7.42%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.99%EV -10.27%E -8.03%K -36.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-02-21 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.38%EV -8.17%E -6.24%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -19.24%E -2.85%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -4.94%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.41%EV -9.57%E -7.42%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -22.23%E -3.42%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.77% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-02-21 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.37% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.24% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39% | 1.7% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |