Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge v Leuven

Início: 2026-02-21 17:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge (Local)

Previsão 70.10%1.43odd justa
EV -3.26%
Vantagem -2.36%
Kelly -8.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.20%70.05%70.33%72.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.331.331.3881.97%75.25%75.19%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leuven (Visitante)

Previsão 11.96%8.36odd justa
EV +19.52%
Vantagem +1.95%
Kelly +2.17%
Crescimento +0.424%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.71%12.06%11.76%13.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.507.677.509.9915.38%13.03%13.33%10.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 17.94%5.58odd justa
EV +2.24%
Vantagem +0.392%
Kelly +0.476%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.40%17.88%17.91%19.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.205.095.005.7023.81%19.66%20.00%17.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Club Brugge (Local): 70.10%; Leuven (Visitante): 11.96%; Empate: 17.94%. Para Leuven (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.36. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.99, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +19.52%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.94%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.71%EV +19.52%E +1.95%K +2.17%G +0.424%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.35%EV +0.262%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 17:10
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.16%EV -5.37%E -3.97%K -15.33%G +0.000%8.38I 11.93%NM 11.46%EV +0.262%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.37%EV -0.814%E -0.147%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.75%EV -5.37%E -3.97%K -15.33%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV -1.29%E -0.157%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.07%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -1.29%E -0.157%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 16:54
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.78%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.62%EV -3.09%E -0.381%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -4.04%E -0.756%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.78%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.62%EV -3.09%E -0.381%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -4.04%E -0.756%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.70%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.34%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV -3.09%E -0.381%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.30%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV -8.53%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.30%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV -8.53%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:50
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:49
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV +2.24%E +0.392%K +0.476%G +0.011%7.0%2026-02-21 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.38%E -9.90%K -49.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 16:59
Suprabets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.22%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -5.48%E -0.694%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 16:55
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 11:09
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 11:10
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 17:00
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.62%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:04
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:10
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:10
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 17:09
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 17:10
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -5.37%E -3.97%K -15.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -5.37%E -3.97%K -15.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 17:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:55
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.59%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 17:10
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.57%E -7.42%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.80%E -3.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.80%E -3.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.38%E -9.90%K -49.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 68.82%EV -14.48%E -11.87%K -65.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.19%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.99%EV -24.67%E -5.87%K -7.71%G +0.000%19.1%2026-02-21 16:59
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -13.26%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.62%EV -11.67%E -9.27%K -44.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -13.26%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 17:07
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 16:20
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.08%EV -9.57%E -7.42%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.99%EV -10.27%E -8.03%K -36.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-21 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.38%EV -8.17%E -6.24%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -19.24%E -2.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -4.94%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.41%EV -9.57%E -7.42%K -33.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -22.23%E -3.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 16:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.77%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-02-21 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%0.9%2026-02-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%0.9%2026-02-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%0.9%2026-02-21 17:10
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.37%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%1.7%2026-02-21 17:10