L’École des cotes

Club Brugge v Leuven

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 17:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Club Brugge (Local)

Prévision 70.10%1.43cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -8.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.20%70.05%70.33%72.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.331.331.3881.97%75.25%75.19%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leuven (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.96%8.36cote équitable
EV +19.52%
Avantage +1.95%
Kelly +2.17%
Croissance +0.424%

avec la cote maximale 9.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.71%12.06%11.76%13.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.677.509.9915.38%13.03%13.33%10.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.94%5.58cote équitable
EV +2.24%
Avantage +0.392%
Kelly +0.476%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.40%17.88%17.91%19.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.205.095.005.7023.81%19.66%20.00%17.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.94%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%9.99I 10.01%NM 9.71%EV +19.52%E +1.95%K +2.17%G +0.424%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.35%EV +0.262%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 17:10
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.16%EV -5.37%E -3.97%K -15.33%G +0.000%8.38I 11.93%NM 11.46%EV +0.262%E +0.031%K +0.036%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.37%EV -0.814%E -0.147%K -0.180%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 17:00
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.75%EV -5.37%E -3.97%K -15.33%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV -1.29%E -0.157%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 16:55
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.07%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.30%EV -1.29%E -0.157%K -0.178%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 16:54
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.78%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.62%EV -3.09%E -0.381%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -4.04%E -0.756%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 16:55
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.78%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.62%EV -3.09%E -0.381%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -4.04%E -0.756%K -0.929%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 16:55
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.70%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.34%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.52%EV -3.09%E -0.381%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:05
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 16:55
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.56%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 16:55
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.30%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV -8.53%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:10
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.30%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV -8.53%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -3.26%E -2.36%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:10
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:50
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:49
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:50
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV +2.24%E +0.392%K +0.476%G +0.011%7.0%2026-02-21 17:00
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 16:45
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 16:55
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.38%E -9.90%K -49.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.28%E -0.536%K -0.612%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 16:59
Suprabets1.33I 75.19%NM 70.22%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -5.48%E -0.694%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 16:55
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 11:09
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 11:10
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 17:00
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 69.62%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 17:04
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:10
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:10
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 17:09
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 17:10
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -5.37%E -3.97%K -15.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 17:10
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -5.37%E -3.97%K -15.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 17:10
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:55
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 17:00
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.59%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 17:10
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.57%E -7.42%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.80%E -3.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 17:10
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.80%E -3.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 17:10
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.38%E -9.90%K -49.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 68.82%EV -14.48%E -11.87%K -65.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.19%EV -10.27%E -1.37%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.99%EV -24.67%E -5.87%K -7.71%G +0.000%19.1%2026-02-21 16:59
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -13.26%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 16:50
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.62%EV -11.67%E -9.27%K -44.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -13.26%E -1.83%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-21 17:07
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -4.66%E -3.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 16:20
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.87%E -6.82%K -29.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 17:04
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.08%EV -9.57%E -7.42%K -33.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 68.99%EV -10.27%E -8.03%K -36.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -16.25%E -2.32%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-21 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.38%EV -8.17%E -6.24%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -19.24%E -2.85%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -4.94%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.41%EV -9.57%E -7.42%K -33.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -22.23%E -3.42%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.77%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-02-21 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%0.9%2026-02-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%0.9%2026-02-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.38%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.11%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%0.9%2026-02-21 17:10
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.37%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%1.7%2026-02-21 17:10