Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge v Cercle Brugge KSV

Início: 2026-08-23 16:30 UTC

Final: Club Brugge 1–0 Cercle Brugge KSV

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Club Brugge (Local)

Previsão 75.02%1.33odd justa
EV -4.73%
Vantagem -3.72%
Kelly -17.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.01%75.00%74.88%77.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.171.231.241.2785.47%81.18%80.65%78.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visitante)

Previsão 9.70%10.31odd justa
EV +21.22%
Vantagem +1.70%
Kelly +1.85%
Crescimento +0.392%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.50%9.64%9.68%11.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.009.809.5012.5012.50%10.21%10.53%8.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 15.28%6.54odd justa
EV +2.40%
Vantagem +0.358%
Kelly +0.421%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.89%15.36%15.45%18.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.206.006.006.7019.23%16.68%16.67%14.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Club Brugge (Local): 75.02%; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visitante): 9.70%; Empate: 15.28%. Para Cercle Brugge KSV (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 10.31. 13 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 12.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +21.22%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +21.22%E +1.70%K +1.85%G +0.392%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -20.53%E -3.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 16:24
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.58%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.95%EV +18.31%E +1.50%K +1.64%G +0.299%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.47%EV +2.40%E +0.358%K +0.421%G +0.010%3.1%2026-08-23 16:24
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.10%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV +11.53%E +1.00%K +1.10%G +0.127%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -19.76%E -3.76%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 16:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.11%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +6.68%E +0.607%K +0.668%G +0.045%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.10%EV -2.19%E -0.342%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.11%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +6.68%E +0.607%K +0.668%G +0.045%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.10%EV -2.19%E -0.342%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 15:39
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +6.68%E +0.607%K +0.668%G +0.045%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -4.48%E -0.717%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 16:24
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +6.68%E +0.607%K +0.668%G +0.045%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 16:23
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +6.68%E +0.607%K +0.668%G +0.045%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 16:23
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.66%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.95I 9.13%NM 8.75%EV +6.19%E +0.565%K +0.622%G +0.039%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.59%EV +0.411%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 16:20
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.83%E +0.174%K +0.192%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.83%E +0.174%K +0.192%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.83%E +0.174%K +0.192%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:24
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.83%E +0.174%K +0.192%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.659%E -0.101%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 16:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -4.48%E -0.717%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 16:09
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:09
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:09
Suprabets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.68%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.24%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 16:04
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 16:04
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -12.23%E -10.45%K -71.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 16:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.61%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.71%EV -6.90%E -0.719%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -9.06%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.39%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.59%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.66%EV -6.90%E -0.719%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV -5.24%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 16:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.39%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.59%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.66%EV -6.90%E -0.719%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV -5.24%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 16:24
BetAnything🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.39%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.59%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.66%EV -6.90%E -0.719%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV -5.24%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 16:24
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.659%E -0.101%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 16:09
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.659%E -0.101%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.31%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.89%EV +2.40%E +0.358%K +0.421%G +0.010%7.4%2026-08-23 16:04
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 16:09
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.44%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 15:39
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -19.76%E -3.76%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 16:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 16:24
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 16:24
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -9.23%E -7.63%K -43.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -14.41%E -2.57%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -12.23%E -10.45%K -71.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 16:19
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.67%EV -12.23%E -10.45%K -71.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.32%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.01%EV -9.83%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 16:14
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.30%EV -10.30%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -0.659%E -0.101%K -0.120%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 16:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.36%EV -10.73%E -9.01%K -56.46%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.69%EV -10.30%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.659%E -0.101%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 16:24
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:04
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 16:03
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -9.98%E -8.31%K -49.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 16:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.20%EV -9.98%E -8.31%K -49.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -14.41%E -2.57%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.20%EV -9.98%E -8.31%K -49.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -14.41%E -2.57%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.73%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.68%EV -15.14%E -1.73%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -2.19%E -0.342%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.83%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.59%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.38%EV -15.14%E -1.73%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.32%EV -10.73%E -9.01%K -56.46%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.17%EV -15.63%E -1.80%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.52%EV -12.89%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -17.57%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -4.48%E -0.717%K -0.853%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 16:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.07%EV -9.98%E -8.31%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -22.42%E -2.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 16:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.35%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.67%0.2%2026-08-23 16:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-08-23 16:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-08-23 16:19
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-08-23 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.62%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%1.4%2026-08-23 16:20
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74%1.7%2026-08-23 16:20