Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Club Brugge v Cercle Brugge KSV

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 16:30 UTC

Score final : Club Brugge 1–0 Cercle Brugge KSV

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Club Brugge (Local)

Prévision 75.02%1.33cote équitable
EV -4.73%
Avantage -3.72%
Kelly -17.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.01%75.00%74.88%77.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.231.241.2785.47%81.18%80.65%78.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.70%10.31cote équitable
EV +21.22%
Avantage +1.70%
Kelly +1.85%
Croissance +0.392%

avec la cote maximale 12.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.50%9.64%9.68%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.009.809.5012.5012.50%10.21%10.53%8.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.28%6.54cote équitable
EV +2.40%
Avantage +0.358%
Kelly +0.421%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 6.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.89%15.36%15.45%18.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.206.006.006.7019.23%16.68%16.67%14.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Club Brugge (Local) : 75.02% ; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visiteur) : 9.70% ; Match nul : 15.28%. Pour Cercle Brugge KSV (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.31. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 12.50, soit une espérance positive de +21.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV +21.22%E +1.70%K +1.85%G +0.392%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -20.53%E -3.95%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 16:24
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.58%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.95%EV +18.31%E +1.50%K +1.64%G +0.299%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.47%EV +2.40%E +0.358%K +0.421%G +0.010%3.1%2026-08-23 16:24
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.10%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.12%EV +11.53%E +1.00%K +1.10%G +0.127%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -19.76%E -3.76%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 16:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.11%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +6.68%E +0.607%K +0.668%G +0.045%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.10%EV -2.19%E -0.342%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 15:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.11%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +6.68%E +0.607%K +0.668%G +0.045%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.10%EV -2.19%E -0.342%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 15:39
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.12%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.65%EV +6.68%E +0.607%K +0.668%G +0.045%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -4.48%E -0.717%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 16:24
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +6.68%E +0.607%K +0.668%G +0.045%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 16:23
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV +6.68%E +0.607%K +0.668%G +0.045%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 16:23
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.66%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.95I 9.13%NM 8.75%EV +6.19%E +0.565%K +0.622%G +0.039%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.59%EV +0.411%E +0.063%K +0.074%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 16:20
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.83%E +0.174%K +0.192%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.83%E +0.174%K +0.192%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.83%E +0.174%K +0.192%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:24
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.49%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +1.83%E +0.174%K +0.192%G +0.004%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 16:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.659%E -0.101%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 16:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.47%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -4.48%E -0.717%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 16:09
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:09
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:09
Suprabets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.68%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -5.24%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 16:04
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 16:04
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -12.23%E -10.45%K -71.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -3.02%E -0.302%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 16:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.61%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.71%EV -6.90%E -0.719%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.67%EV -9.06%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.39%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.59%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.66%EV -6.90%E -0.719%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV -5.24%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 16:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.39%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.59%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.66%EV -6.90%E -0.719%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV -5.24%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 16:24
BetAnything🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.39%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.59%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.66%EV -6.90%E -0.719%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.96%EV -5.24%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 16:24
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.659%E -0.101%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 16:09
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.659%E -0.101%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 16:24
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.31%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.89%EV +2.40%E +0.358%K +0.421%G +0.010%7.4%2026-08-23 16:04
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 16:09
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.44%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.59%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 15:39
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -19.76%E -3.76%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 16:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 16:24
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 16:24
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -9.23%E -7.63%K -43.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -14.41%E -2.57%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -12.23%E -10.45%K -71.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 16:19
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.67%EV -12.23%E -10.45%K -71.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.32%EV -7.87%E -0.828%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.01%EV -9.83%E -1.67%K -2.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 16:14
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.30%EV -10.30%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -0.659%E -0.101%K -0.120%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 16:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.36%EV -10.73%E -9.01%K -56.46%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.69%EV -10.30%E -1.11%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.95%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-23 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -0.659%E -0.101%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 16:24
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.94%E -2.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 16:04
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 16:03
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -9.98%E -8.31%K -49.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 16:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.20%EV -9.98%E -8.31%K -49.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -14.41%E -2.57%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.20%EV -9.98%E -8.31%K -49.89%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.89%EV -12.72%E -1.41%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -14.41%E -2.57%K -3.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.73%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.68%EV -15.14%E -1.73%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -2.19%E -0.342%K -0.405%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.83%EV -7.73%E -6.28%K -33.59%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.38%EV -15.14%E -1.73%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -12.12%E -2.11%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 74.32%EV -10.73%E -9.01%K -56.46%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.17%EV -15.63%E -1.80%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.52%EV -12.89%E -2.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.70%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -17.57%E -2.07%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -4.48%E -0.717%K -0.853%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 16:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.07%EV -9.98%E -8.31%K -49.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -22.42%E -2.80%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -8.30%E -1.38%K -1.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 16:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.29I 77.52%NM 77.35%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.98%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.67%0.2%2026-08-23 16:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-08-23 16:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-08-23 16:19
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-08-23 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.62%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%1.4%2026-08-23 16:20
Kalshi◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74%1.7%2026-08-23 16:20