Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.83
assuming max odds 4.60
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charleroi (Local): 52.93%; Leuven (Visit): 21.65%; Draw: 25.42%. For Leuven (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.60, with an expected value of -0.404%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.93%EV -3.14%E -1.72%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.72%EV -3.43%E -0.770%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -2.90%E -0.759%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-09 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.15%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -4.73%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -2.14%E -0.555%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.15%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -4.73%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -2.14%E -0.555%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.15%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -4.73%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -2.14%E -0.555%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 13:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.34%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.06%EV -1.27%E -0.278%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -6.25%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -6.25%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 13:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.57%E -0.571%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 13:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -6.90%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.82%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -5.82%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -5.82%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.90%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -6.31%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -2.57%E -0.571%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -6.31%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.31%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.98%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 13:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.17%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.73%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.57%EV -6.97%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.05%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.90%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 13:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.98%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.98%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.98%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.98%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.73%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.73%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 11:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.90%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -3.92%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 13:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 13:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -11.23%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -11.23%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.38%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -0.404%E -0.088%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.00%EV -7.73%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.56%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.48%E -3.67%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.67%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -11.23%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-09 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -12.67%E -7.68%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.01% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.6% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.98% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 13:55 |