Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Charleroi v Leuven

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 14:00 UTC

Score final : Charleroi 3–1 Leuven

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Charleroi (Local)

Prévision 52.93%1.89cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.78%52.98%52.86%55.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.751.751.8360.61%57.11%56.98%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Leuven (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.65%4.62cote équitable
EV -0.404%
Avantage -0.088%
Kelly -0.112%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.34%21.63%21.75%22.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.954.244.204.6025.32%23.56%23.81%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.42%3.93cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.555%
Kelly -0.750%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.62%25.39%25.39%26.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.643.653.8529.41%27.48%27.40%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Charleroi (Local) : 52.93% ; Leuven (Visiteur) : 21.65% ; Match nul : 25.42%. Pour Leuven (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.62. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.60, pour une espérance de -0.404% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.93%EV -3.14%E -1.72%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.72%EV -3.43%E -0.770%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -2.90%E -0.759%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.15%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -4.73%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -2.14%E -0.555%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.15%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -4.73%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -2.14%E -0.555%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.15%EV -4.20%E -2.32%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -4.73%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -2.14%E -0.555%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 13:54
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.34%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.06%EV -1.27%E -0.278%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 13:55
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -6.25%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.93%EV -6.25%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 13:34
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.57%E -0.571%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.63%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 13:39
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.53%EV -5.26%E -2.94%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.95%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -6.90%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.82%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -5.82%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:40
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -5.82%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:35
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -5.79%E -3.25%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.90%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -6.31%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -2.57%E -0.571%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -6.31%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.31%E -3.57%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.98%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 13:30
Suprabets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.17%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -4.73%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.57%EV -6.97%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:55
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.05%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -6.90%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.98%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.98%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.98%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:55
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -6.84%E -3.89%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -7.98%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 13:55
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.73%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:54
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.73%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:55
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:35
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 11:35
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.90%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -3.92%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.31%EV -7.90%E -4.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 13:34
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 13:35
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.65%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 13:34
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -11.23%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -11.23%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -8.43%E -4.87%K -11.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 52.38%EV -9.49%E -5.55%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -0.404%E -0.088%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.41%E -0.897%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.39%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.00%EV -7.73%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 13:34
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 13:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.56%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.62%EV -14.48%E -3.67%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.02%E -5.89%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.03%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.67%EV -11.61%E -6.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -11.23%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -13.58%E -3.99%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 13:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -12.67%E -7.68%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -9.76%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-09 13:55
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 54.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%0.6%2026-08-09 13:55
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-08-09 12:00
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.98%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-08-09 13:55