L’École des cotes

Charleroi v Leuven

2026-08-09 14:00 UTC — Belgium First Div

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Charleroi (Local)

Prévision 48.50%2.06cote équitable
EV -5.43%
Avantage -2.79%
Kelly -5.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.63%48.82%48.51%51.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.871.881.9558.82%53.46%53.19%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leuven (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.33%4.29cote équitable
EV +2.66%
Avantage +0.605%
Kelly +0.783%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.27%23.15%23.34%24.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.873.904.4028.57%25.82%25.64%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.17%3.55cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.399%
Kelly -0.558%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.74%28.04%28.15%29.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.193.103.5033.90%31.38%32.26%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -12.71%E -7.06%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +2.66%E +0.605%K +0.783%G +0.021%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -1.40%E -0.399%K -0.558%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 11:20
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.16%EV -5.92%E -3.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.43%EV -5.04%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.41%EV -1.96%E -0.563%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 19:25
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-14 18:18
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -7.86%E -4.14%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.67%E -1.67%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.85%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 20:44
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -7.86%E -4.14%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 19:29
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 03:04
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.21%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 03:05
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 14:04
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 14:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 13:59
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 14:00
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.75%EV -8.34%E -4.41%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 20:39
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.75%EV -8.34%E -4.41%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.75%EV -8.34%E -4.41%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 20:50
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 18:24
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:35
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:39
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 20:40
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 22:38
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.01%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 23:55
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.49%EV -12.22%E -6.75%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.92%EV -10.64%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.59%EV -13.51%E -4.40%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 14:04
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -9.31%E -4.98%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 13:44
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-14 18:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.28%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -7.03%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-14 18:19
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.18%EV -11.74%E -6.45%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -11.34%E -2.98%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -14.07%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 14:05
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.03%EV -12.22%E -6.75%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -12.50%E -3.33%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -8.44%E -2.60%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-14 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.94%EV -11.74%E -6.45%K -14.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.91%EV -14.84%E -4.07%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-22 13:25
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.20%EV -17.56%E -10.33%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.92%EV -14.84%E -4.07%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.88%EV -15.48%E -5.16%K -7.74%G +0.000%19.6%2026-07-24 12:35
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -12.71%E -7.06%K -15.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -18.34%E -5.24%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -12.66%E -4.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%16.4%2026-07-14 20:39
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.63%EV -14.65%E -8.32%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.95%EV -18.34%E -5.24%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.42%EV -16.89%E -5.73%K -8.66%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-22 13:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 47.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.33%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.97%15.8%2026-07-22 13:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.78%1.17I 85.47%NM 31.78%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.45%169.0%2026-07-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.78%1.17I 85.47%NM 31.78%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.45%169.0%2026-07-21 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.78%1.17I 85.47%NM 31.78%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.45%169.0%2026-07-21 13:30