Language:English
Charleroi v Cercle Brugge KSV
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Charleroi (Local)
Prediction 57.71%1.73fair odd
EV +0.416%
Edge +0.239%
Kelly +0.562%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.11%57.54%57.80%63.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.601.611.7467.57%62.39%62.11%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit)
Prediction 19.08%5.24fair odd
EV +9.71%
Edge +1.69%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.198%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.23%19.17%18.99%20.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.854.905.7522.73%20.63%20.41%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.21%4.31fair odd
EV +4.45%
Edge +0.988%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.73%23.29%23.21%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.974.004.5027.78%25.16%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charleroi (Local): 57.71%; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit): 19.08%; Draw: 23.21%. For Cercle Brugge KSV (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -14.59%E -9.86%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +9.71%E +1.69%K +2.04%G +0.198% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +4.45%E +0.988%K +1.27%G +0.056% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.79%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV +0.167%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV +2.13%E +0.483%K +0.625%G +0.013% | 3.9% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -4.20%E -2.53%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.50%EV -0.596%E -0.114%K -0.142%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.45%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 16:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.78%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -0.787%E -0.151%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -1.36%E -0.319%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.71%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -2.69%E -0.528%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.528%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.528%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.528%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 15:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 15:32 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 16:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 15:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 15:32 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.53%EV -8.55%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-19 15:52 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.28%EV +0.416%E +0.239%K +0.562%G +0.002% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.12%EV -8.80%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.60%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-19 15:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-19 15:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.74%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.74%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -11.28%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.10%EV -11.13%E -7.22%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -11.28%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-19 15:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -10.55%E -6.81%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-19 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -13.19%E -2.90%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.18%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-19 15:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -16.05%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-19 15:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-09-19 16:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.79% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54% | 1.2% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45% | 1.5% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.7% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |