La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Charleroi v Cercle Brugge KSV

Inicio: 2026-09-19 16:16 UTC

Final: Charleroi 3–2 Cercle Brugge KSV

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Charleroi (Local)

Predicción 57.71%1.73momio equitativo
EV +0.416%
Ventaja +0.239%
Kelly +0.562%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.11%57.54%57.80%63.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.601.611.7467.57%62.39%62.11%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visitante)

Predicción 19.08%5.24momio equitativo
EV +9.71%
Ventaja +1.69%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.198%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.23%19.17%18.99%20.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.854.905.7522.73%20.63%20.41%17.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.21%4.31momio equitativo
EV +4.45%
Ventaja +0.988%
Kelly +1.27%
Crecimiento +0.056%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.73%23.29%23.21%24.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.974.004.5027.78%25.16%25.00%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Charleroi (Local): 57.71%; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visitante): 19.08%; Empate: 23.21%. Para Cercle Brugge KSV (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.24. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.75, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.71%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -14.59%E -9.86%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +9.71%E +1.69%K +2.04%G +0.198%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +4.45%E +0.988%K +1.27%G +0.056%7.2%2026-09-19 16:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.79%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV +0.167%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV +2.13%E +0.483%K +0.625%G +0.013%3.9%2026-09-19 16:14
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -4.20%E -2.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.50%EV -0.596%E -0.114%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.45%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.78%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -0.787%E -0.151%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -1.36%E -0.319%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.71%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -2.69%E -0.528%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.528%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.528%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.528%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 15:31
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 15:44
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 15:44
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 15:49
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 15:32
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:44
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:45
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:00
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 15:32
Suprabets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.53%EV -8.55%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 15:52
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 16:04
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 16:04
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:14
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.28%EV +0.416%E +0.239%K +0.562%G +0.002%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.12%EV -8.80%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.60%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 15:34
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 15:31
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 15:44
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.74%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.74%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 16:15
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -11.28%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.10%EV -11.13%E -7.22%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -11.28%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 15:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:14
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 15:31
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -10.55%E -6.81%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -13.19%E -2.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.18%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 15:48
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -16.05%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 15:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-09-19 16:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-09-19 16:15
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.83%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.79%0.9%2026-09-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-19 16:15
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-09-19 16:15
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-09-19 16:15