L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Charleroi v Cercle Brugge KSV

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 16:16 UTC

Score final : Charleroi 3–2 Cercle Brugge KSV

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Charleroi (Local)

Prévision 57.71%1.73cote équitable
EV +0.416%
Avantage +0.239%
Kelly +0.562%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.11%57.54%57.80%63.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.601.611.7467.57%62.39%62.11%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.08%5.24cote équitable
EV +9.71%
Avantage +1.69%
Kelly +2.04%
Croissance +0.198%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.23%19.17%18.99%20.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.854.905.7522.73%20.63%20.41%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.21%4.31cote équitable
EV +4.45%
Avantage +0.988%
Kelly +1.27%
Croissance +0.056%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.73%23.29%23.21%24.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.974.004.5027.78%25.16%25.00%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Charleroi (Local) : 57.71% ; Cercle Brugge KSV (Visiteur) : 19.08% ; Match nul : 23.21%. Pour Cercle Brugge KSV (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.24. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +9.71%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -14.59%E -9.86%K -30.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +9.71%E +1.69%K +2.04%G +0.198%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV +4.45%E +0.988%K +1.27%G +0.056%7.2%2026-09-19 16:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.79%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.33%EV +0.167%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV +2.13%E +0.483%K +0.625%G +0.013%3.9%2026-09-19 16:14
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -4.20%E -2.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.50%EV -0.596%E -0.114%K -0.142%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.45%EV -4.61%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 16:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.78%EV -5.36%E -3.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -0.787%E -0.151%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -1.36%E -0.319%K -0.417%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-19 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.71%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.65%EV -2.69%E -0.528%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -2.52%E -0.599%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.528%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.528%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -2.69%E -0.528%K -0.657%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 15:31
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 15:44
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 15:44
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 15:49
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 15:32
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-19 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 15:44
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:45
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:00
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 15:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 15:32
Suprabets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -4.60%E -0.921%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.53%EV -8.55%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 15:52
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 16:04
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 16:04
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -6.51%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:14
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.28%EV +0.416%E +0.239%K +0.562%G +0.002%4.78I 20.92%NM 20.12%EV -8.80%E -1.84%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.60%EV -9.25%E -2.37%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.51%E -4.02%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 15:34
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.09%E -4.40%K -11.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-19 15:31
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.37%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.80%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 15:44
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 15:25
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.74%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.74%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -10.33%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 16:15
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -4.78%E -2.90%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -11.28%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.10%EV -11.13%E -7.22%K -20.60%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.24%EV -11.28%E -2.43%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -8.32%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 15:50
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -3.62%E -2.17%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -14.12%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:14
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.66%E -4.79%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-19 15:31
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -4.84%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.50%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -9.48%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-19 16:15
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.58%EV -10.55%E -6.81%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -12.23%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.44%E -4.57%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-19 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -9.97%E -6.39%K -17.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -13.19%E -2.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.18%EV -10.64%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-19 15:48
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.39%E -5.98%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -14.14%E -3.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.96%E -3.46%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-19 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -8.82%E -5.58%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -16.05%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -7.16%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-19 15:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-09-19 16:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-09-19 16:15
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.83%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.79%0.9%2026-09-19 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.49%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.54%1.2%2026-09-19 16:15
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.64%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-09-19 16:15
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-09-19 16:15