Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.77
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cercle Brugge KSV (Local): 35.63%; Sint Truiden (Visit): 37.57%; Draw: 26.79%. For Sint Truiden (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.32%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV +3.32%E +1.21%K +1.90%G +0.063% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV +3.32%E +1.21%K +1.90%G +0.063% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV +3.32%E +1.21%K +1.90%G +0.063% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -2.31%E -0.889%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.73%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.06%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.75%EV -3.00%E -0.830%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.70%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.79%EV -3.81%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.51%EV -2.20%E -0.603%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -13.41%E -5.52%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -13.41%E -5.52%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -13.41%E -5.52%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.92%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.94%EV -1.30%E -0.468%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -5.32%E -2.11%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -2.74%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 18:37 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -15.19%E -6.38%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -12.92%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -15.19%E -6.38%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -12.92%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.89%EV -7.57%E -3.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 18:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-14 18:28 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -1.65%E -0.598%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -8.32%E -3.41%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -1.65%E -0.598%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -8.32%E -3.41%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -4.50%E -1.68%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -8.32%E -3.41%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.90%EV -7.02%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:36 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 18:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-14 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.92%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -14.26%E -4.46%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -10.58%E -4.44%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV +0.478%E +0.128%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -11.71%E -4.98%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -11.71%E -4.98%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.58%EV -15.60%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-14 18:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.90% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 36.16% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.94% | -1.9% | 2026-08-14 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48% | 2.1% | 2026-08-14 18:34 |