The School of Odds
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Cercle Brugge KSV v Sint Truiden

2026-08-14 18:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Prediction 39.35%2.54fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%39.40%39.33%40.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.312.4345.45%43.30%43.20%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sint Truiden (Visit)

Prediction 33.87%2.95fair odd
EV -5.17%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.97%33.82%33.89%34.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.752.8040.00%37.18%36.43%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.78%3.73fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.78%26.78%26.78%27.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.453.6031.25%29.22%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cercle Brugge KSV (Local): 39.35%; Sint Truiden (Visit): 33.87%; Draw: 26.78%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -3.60%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.27%EV -4.37%E -1.80%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.65%EV -4.14%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.86%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 18:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.86%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 19:20
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.55%E -2.31%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.86%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.86%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.60%E -1.00%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -6.34%E -2.66%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.08%EV -7.20%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.38%EV -7.12%E -3.02%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.68%EV -6.52%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.38%EV -7.12%E -3.02%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.68%EV -6.52%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV -7.62%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.52%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:50
Suprabets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.34%EV -8.31%E -3.56%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.21%EV -6.52%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.45%EV -10.57%E -3.16%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 18:52
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.49%E -4.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.86%E -2.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.50%EV -9.49%E -4.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -10.92%E -4.15%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 21:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.49%E -4.12%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.26%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.28%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.69%EV -11.45%E -5.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -8.55%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.23%EV -12.17%E -3.71%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 18:48
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -11.45%E -5.09%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -11.26%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 18:55
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -13.42%E -6.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -13.63%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.73%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -13.42%E -6.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.64%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-07 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.42%E -6.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-07 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.21%EV -13.42%E -6.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -13.63%E -5.35%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -14.31%E -4.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-07 18:50
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -13.42%E -6.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -15.33%E -6.13%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -12.98%E -3.99%K -5.77%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-07 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 38.14%2.38I 42.02%NM 33.33%2.78I 35.97%NM 28.53%26.1%2026-08-08 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-07 19:00