Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cercle Brugge KSV v Sint Truiden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 18:45 UTC

Score final : Cercle Brugge KSV 3–3 Sint Truiden

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Prévision 35.63%2.81cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.468%
Kelly -0.732%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.12%35.81%35.47%37.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.572.552.7742.02%38.87%39.22%36.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sint Truiden (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.57%2.66cote équitable
EV +3.32%
Avantage +1.21%
Kelly +1.90%
Croissance +0.063%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.05%37.51%37.68%38.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.502.502.7542.55%39.95%40.00%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.79%3.73cote équitable
EV +0.478%
Avantage +0.128%
Kelly +0.174%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.17%26.68%26.86%27.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.433.453.7531.75%29.14%28.99%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cercle Brugge KSV (Local) : 35.63% ; Sint Truiden (Visiteur) : 37.57% ; Match nul : 26.79%. Pour Sint Truiden (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.66. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.75, soit une espérance positive de +3.32%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV +3.32%E +1.21%K +1.90%G +0.063%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV +3.32%E +1.21%K +1.90%G +0.063%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV +3.32%E +1.21%K +1.90%G +0.063%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:34
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:34
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:39
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -2.31%E -0.889%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 18:34
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.73%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.06%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.75%EV -3.00%E -0.830%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 18:39
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.70%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.79%EV -3.81%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.51%EV -2.20%E -0.603%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:29
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:25
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -13.41%E -5.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -13.41%E -5.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:34
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -13.41%E -5.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.92%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 18:34
BetAnything🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.94%EV -1.30%E -0.468%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -5.32%E -2.11%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -2.74%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 18:34
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:34
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 18:29
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 18:39
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:29
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:38
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:37
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -15.19%E -6.38%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -12.92%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -15.19%E -6.38%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -12.92%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.89%EV -7.57%E -3.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 18:24
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:39
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 18:40
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 18:28
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -1.65%E -0.598%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -8.32%E -3.41%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -1.65%E -0.598%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -8.32%E -3.41%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:39
Suprabets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -4.50%E -1.68%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -8.32%E -3.41%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.90%EV -7.02%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:36
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 18:29
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.92%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-14 18:34
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -14.26%E -4.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -10.58%E -4.44%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV +0.478%E +0.128%K +0.174%G +0.001%10.4%2026-08-14 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -11.71%E -4.98%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:34
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -11.71%E -4.98%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.58%EV -15.60%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-14 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.90%2.82I 35.46%NM 36.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.94%-1.9%2026-08-14 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-08-14 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-08-14 18:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-08-14 18:34
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-08-14 18:34
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.1%2026-08-14 18:34