Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cercle Brugge KSV v Sint Truiden

Início: 2026-08-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Cercle Brugge KSV 3–3 Sint Truiden

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Previsão 35.63%2.81odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.468%
Kelly -0.732%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.12%35.81%35.47%37.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.382.572.552.7742.02%38.87%39.22%36.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sint Truiden (Visitante)

Previsão 37.57%2.66odd justa
EV +3.32%
Vantagem +1.21%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescimento +0.063%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.05%37.51%37.68%38.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.502.502.7542.55%39.95%40.00%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.79%3.73odd justa
EV +0.478%
Vantagem +0.128%
Kelly +0.174%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.17%26.68%26.86%27.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.433.453.7531.75%29.14%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cercle Brugge KSV (Local): 35.63%; Sint Truiden (Visitante): 37.57%; Empate: 26.79%. Para Sint Truiden (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.66. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.32%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV +3.32%E +1.21%K +1.90%G +0.063%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV +3.32%E +1.21%K +1.90%G +0.063%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.05%EV +3.32%E +1.21%K +1.90%G +0.063%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-14 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:34
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:34
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -0.433%E -0.164%K -0.263%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:39
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -2.31%E -0.889%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 18:34
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.73%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -3.06%E -1.19%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.75%EV -3.00%E -0.830%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 18:39
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.70%EV -3.43%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.79%EV -3.81%E -1.49%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.51%EV -2.20%E -0.603%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:29
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 18:25
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -13.41%E -5.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -13.41%E -5.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:34
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -13.41%E -5.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -12.92%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-14 18:34
BetAnything🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.94%EV -1.30%E -0.468%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.40%EV -5.32%E -2.11%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -2.74%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-14 18:34
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.20%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -4.88%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:34
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 18:29
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 18:39
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:29
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:38
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 18:37
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.54%E -0.984%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -15.19%E -6.38%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -12.92%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -15.19%E -6.38%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -6.07%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -12.92%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-14 18:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.89%EV -7.57%E -3.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.94%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.22%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 18:24
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:39
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 18:40
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-14 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -7.95%E -3.24%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-14 18:28
LowVig.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -1.65%E -0.598%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -8.32%E -3.41%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -1.65%E -0.598%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.59%EV -8.32%E -3.41%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -7.56%E -2.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:39
Suprabets🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -4.50%E -1.68%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -8.32%E -3.41%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.90%EV -7.02%E -2.02%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 18:36
Betclic (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 18:39
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.24%E -3.06%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 18:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.90%E -2.62%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 18:29
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.58%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.92%E -3.97%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-14 18:34
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -9.83%E -4.09%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -14.26%E -4.46%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -10.58%E -4.44%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV +0.478%E +0.128%K +0.174%G +0.001%10.4%2026-08-14 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.71%EV -11.71%E -4.98%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -11.58%E -3.51%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 18:34
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -11.71%E -4.98%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.58%EV -15.60%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-14 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.90%2.82I 35.46%NM 36.16%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.94%-1.9%2026-08-14 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-08-14 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-08-14 18:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-08-14 18:34
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-08-14 18:34
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%2.1%2026-08-14 18:34