Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cercle Brugge KSV v RAAL La Louvière

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Cercle Brugge KSV 3–0 RAAL La Louvière

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Prediction 51.15%1.96fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.935%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.70%51.11%51.23%52.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.821.831.9259.88%55.04%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RAAL La Louvière (Visit)

Prediction 22.26%4.49fair odd
EV +3.27%
Edge +0.704%
Kelly +0.897%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 4.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.80%22.24%22.18%23.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.094.004.6426.67%24.45%25.00%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -0.265%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.097%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.69%26.65%26.59%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.67%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cercle Brugge KSV (Local): 51.15%; RAAL La Louvière (Visit): 22.26%; Draw: 26.60%. For RAAL La Louvière (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.46%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.80%EV +3.27%E +0.704%K +0.897%G +0.029%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.74%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:54
Suprabets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.49%EV -7.42%E -4.10%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.33%EV -9.31%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:39
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:39
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.81%EV -2.31%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV -3.19%E -0.733%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -3.19%E -0.733%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -3.19%E -0.733%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:48
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:39
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.49%E -5.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.50%EV -1.79%E -0.935%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -0.265%E -0.071%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.50%EV -1.79%E -0.935%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -0.265%E -0.071%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:39
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.34%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.49%EV -8.78%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:53
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36%EV -9.98%E -5.67%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.60%E -0.431%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.60%E -0.431%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.93%E -0.801%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:49
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.93%E -0.801%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:50
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.93%E -0.801%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -8.96%E -5.03%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:44
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:45
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -10.49%E -5.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 13:39
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -13.05%E -7.67%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 13:40
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.58%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:49
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.49%E -5.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -14.32%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.58%EV -8.96%E -5.03%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.58%EV -8.96%E -5.03%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -12.02%E -6.99%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -14.58%E -8.73%K -21.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -16.54%E -4.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -20.21%E -6.74%K -10.11%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.28%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%2.3%2026-04-11 13:50