A Escola das Odds

Cercle Brugge KSV v RAAL La Louvière

Início: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Cercle Brugge KSV 3–0 RAAL La Louvière

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Previsão 51.15%1.96odd justa
EV -1.79%
Vantagem -0.935%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.70%51.11%51.23%52.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.821.831.9259.88%55.04%54.64%52.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

RAAL La Louvière (Visitante)

Previsão 22.26%4.49odd justa
EV +3.27%
Vantagem +0.704%
Kelly +0.897%
Crescimento +0.029%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.80%22.24%22.18%23.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.094.004.6426.67%24.45%25.00%21.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.60%3.76odd justa
EV -0.265%
Vantagem -0.071%
Kelly -0.097%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.69%26.65%26.59%27.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.67%28.57%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.46%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.80%EV +3.27%E +0.704%K +0.897%G +0.029%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.74%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 13:50
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:54
Suprabets1.81I 55.25%NM 51.49%EV -7.42%E -4.10%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.33%EV -9.31%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:39
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:39
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.81%EV -2.31%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV -3.19%E -0.733%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 13:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -3.19%E -0.733%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -3.19%E -0.733%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:48
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:39
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:54
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:39
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:55
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.49%E -5.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 13:40
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.50%EV -1.79%E -0.935%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -0.265%E -0.071%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 13:50
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.50%EV -1.79%E -0.935%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -0.265%E -0.071%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 13:49
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:39
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.34%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.49%EV -8.78%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:53
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36%EV -9.98%E -5.67%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:54
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.60%E -0.431%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.60%E -0.431%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:49
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.93%E -0.801%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:49
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.93%E -0.801%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:50
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.93%E -0.801%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:50
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:39
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -8.96%E -5.03%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:44
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:44
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:45
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -10.49%E -5.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 13:39
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -13.05%E -7.67%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 13:40
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.58%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:49
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:50
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.49%E -5.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 13:54
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -14.32%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:49
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.58%EV -8.96%E -5.03%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.58%EV -8.96%E -5.03%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 13:50
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -12.02%E -6.99%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -14.58%E -8.73%K -21.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -16.54%E -4.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -20.21%E -6.74%K -10.11%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.28%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%2.3%2026-04-11 13:50