La escuela de los momios

Cercle Brugge KSV v RAAL La Louvière

Inicio: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Cercle Brugge KSV 3–0 RAAL La Louvière

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Predicción 51.15%1.96momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.935%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.70%51.11%51.23%52.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.821.831.9259.88%55.04%54.64%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

RAAL La Louvière (Visitante)

Predicción 22.26%4.49momio equitativo
EV +3.27%
Ventaja +0.704%
Kelly +0.897%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.80%22.24%22.18%23.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.094.004.6426.67%24.45%25.00%21.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.60%3.76momio equitativo
EV -0.265%
Ventaja -0.071%
Kelly -0.097%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.69%26.65%26.59%27.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.67%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.46%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.80%EV +3.27%E +0.704%K +0.897%G +0.029%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.74%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 13:50
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:54
Suprabets1.81I 55.25%NM 51.49%EV -7.42%E -4.10%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.33%EV -9.31%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:39
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -2.08%E -0.472%K -0.611%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:39
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.81%EV -2.31%E -1.21%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV -3.19%E -0.733%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -3.99%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 13:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -3.19%E -0.733%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -3.19%E -0.733%K -0.952%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -3.63%E -0.839%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:48
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.30%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:39
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:54
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.41%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:39
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:55
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:55
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.49%E -5.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -6.53%E -1.55%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 13:40
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.50%EV -1.79%E -0.935%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -0.265%E -0.071%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 13:50
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 50.50%EV -1.79%E -0.935%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85%EV -0.265%E -0.071%K -0.097%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 13:49
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 13:39
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.34%EV -9.47%E -5.35%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.16%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.49%EV -8.78%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:53
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:45
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.36%EV -9.98%E -5.67%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -8.75%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 13:54
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.60%E -0.431%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.55%EV -3.84%E -2.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -1.60%E -0.431%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 13:49
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.93%E -0.801%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:49
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.93%E -0.801%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:50
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -2.93%E -0.801%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 13:50
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.14%EV -4.35%E -2.33%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -5.37%E -2.91%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:39
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 49.77%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.38%EV -8.96%E -5.03%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:55
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:44
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 13:44
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:45
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -10.49%E -5.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 13:39
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 51.33%EV -13.05%E -7.67%K -18.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.82%EV -10.98%E -2.74%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-11 13:40
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.58%EV -5.89%E -3.20%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:50
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:49
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.72%EV -6.40%E -3.50%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.50%EV -12.09%E -3.06%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.52%EV -6.91%E -3.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:50
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.49%E -5.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -13.20%E -3.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 13:54
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -7.93%E -4.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -14.32%E -3.72%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 13:49
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.58%EV -8.96%E -5.03%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.58%EV -8.96%E -5.03%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 13:50
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -12.02%E -6.99%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -15.43%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -14.58%E -8.73%K -21.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -16.54%E -4.41%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -20.21%E -6.74%K -10.11%G +0.000%19.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-04-11 13:55
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.41%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%0.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.28%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-04-11 13:55
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%2.3%2026-04-11 13:50