Language:English
Cercle Brugge KSV v Lommel SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)
Prediction 59.31%1.69fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.930%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.98%59.23%59.43%61.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.551.561.6668.49%64.42%64.10%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lommel SK (Visit)
Prediction 19.47%5.14fair odd
EV +7.08%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.57%
Growth +0.111%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.48%19.51%19.42%21.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.814.805.5023.81%20.77%20.83%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.22%4.71fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.519%
Kelly -0.664%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.30%21.26%21.15%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.324.334.6025.00%23.12%23.09%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cercle Brugge KSV (Local): 59.31%; Lommel SK (Visit): 19.47%; Draw: 21.22%. For Lommel SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.14. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.62%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV +7.08%E +1.29%K +1.57%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -2.39%E -0.519%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.62%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV +7.08%E +1.29%K +1.57%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -2.39%E -0.519%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.45%EV -8.66%E -5.62%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV +5.14%E +0.951%K +1.17%G +0.060% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.521%G +0.012% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.521%G +0.012% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.521%G +0.012% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.521%G +0.012% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.19%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.45%EV +1.63%E +0.313%K +0.387%G +0.006% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.36%EV -4.30%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.82%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.82%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.82%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:27 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -12.22%E -8.26%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -13.41%E -9.18%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -13.41%E -9.18%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.75%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.75%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -6.29%E -3.98%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -2.39%E -0.519%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -2.39%E -0.519%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.44%EV -1.54%E -0.930%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.18%EV -2.81%E -0.614%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.49%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -8.49%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -11.94%E -2.88%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 18:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -4.51%E -2.80%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -8.12%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.31%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.78%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.25%E -6.05%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -9.25%E -6.05%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.25%E -6.05%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.85%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.87%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -16.28%E -3.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -9.25%E -6.05%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -16.28%E -3.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -8.66%E -5.62%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -18.23%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.82% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.30% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |