Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cercle Brugge KSV v Lommel SK

Início: 2026-08-29 18:45 UTC

Final: Cercle Brugge KSV 0–1 Lommel SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Previsão 59.31%1.69odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.930%
Kelly -2.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.98%59.23%59.43%61.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.461.551.561.6668.49%64.42%64.10%60.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Lommel SK (Visitante)

Previsão 19.47%5.14odd justa
EV +7.08%
Vantagem +1.29%
Kelly +1.57%
Crescimento +0.111%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.48%19.51%19.42%21.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.814.805.5023.81%20.77%20.83%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.22%4.71odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -0.519%
Kelly -0.664%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.30%21.26%21.15%22.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.324.334.6025.00%23.12%23.09%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cercle Brugge KSV (Local): 59.31%; Lommel SK (Visitante): 19.47%; Empate: 21.22%. Para Lommel SK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.14. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.08%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.62%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV +7.08%E +1.29%K +1.57%G +0.111%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -2.39%E -0.519%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.62%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV +7.08%E +1.29%K +1.57%G +0.111%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -2.39%E -0.519%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.45%EV -8.66%E -5.62%K -16.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV +5.14%E +0.951%K +1.17%G +0.060%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.521%G +0.012%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.521%G +0.012%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:10
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.521%G +0.012%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:10
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.521%G +0.012%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.19%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.45%EV +1.63%E +0.313%K +0.387%G +0.006%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.36%EV -4.30%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.82%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.82%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 18:10
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.82%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 18:10
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:35
Suprabets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:27
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -12.22%E -8.26%K -25.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -13.41%E -9.18%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -13.41%E -9.18%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.75%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:29
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.75%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -6.29%E -3.98%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -2.39%E -0.519%K -0.664%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 18:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -2.39%E -0.519%K -0.664%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 18:35
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 18:30
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.44%EV -1.54%E -0.930%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.18%EV -2.81%E -0.614%K -0.786%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 18:35
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:33
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 18:35
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.49%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -8.49%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -11.94%E -2.88%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 18:38
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -4.51%E -2.80%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:35
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 18:35
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -8.12%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.31%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.78%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.25%E -6.05%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -9.25%E -6.05%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.25%E -6.05%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-29 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-29 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.85%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.87%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -16.28%E -3.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -9.25%E -6.05%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -16.28%E -3.79%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -8.66%E -5.62%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -18.23%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.82%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-08-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-08-29 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-08-29 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-08-29 18:35
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.30%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-08-29 18:40
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97%1.5%2026-08-29 18:35