Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cercle Brugge KSV (Local): 59.31%; Lommel SK (Visitante): 19.47%; Empate: 21.22%. Para Lommel SK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.14. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.08%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.62%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV +7.08%E +1.29%K +1.57%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -2.39%E -0.519%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.62%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV +7.08%E +1.29%K +1.57%G +0.111% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.90%EV -2.39%E -0.519%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.45%EV -8.66%E -5.62%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.52%EV +5.14%E +0.951%K +1.17%G +0.060% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.521%G +0.012% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.521%G +0.012% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.521%G +0.012% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.32%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV +2.22%E +0.422%K +0.521%G +0.012% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.19%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 18.45%EV +1.63%E +0.313%K +0.387%G +0.006% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.36%EV -4.30%E -0.953%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.83%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.82%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.82%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -2.65%E -0.530%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.82%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:27 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.78%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.65%EV -10.44%E -6.91%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.44%EV -12.22%E -8.26%K -25.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.26%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -13.41%E -9.18%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -13.41%E -9.18%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -4.60%E -0.939%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.75%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.75%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.38%EV -5.57%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -6.29%E -3.98%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -2.39%E -0.519%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -2.39%E -0.519%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -6.55%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.44%EV -1.54%E -0.930%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.38%EV -7.32%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.18%EV -2.81%E -0.614%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 18:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.52%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -5.70%E -3.58%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -8.49%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.71%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -8.49%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.93%EV -11.94%E -2.88%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 18:38 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -4.51%E -2.80%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.10%E -3.19%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -4.51%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.88%E -4.38%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -8.12%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.31%EV -8.07%E -5.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.78%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -9.25%E -6.05%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.37%EV -9.25%E -6.05%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -9.25%E -6.05%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.85%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -12.39%E -2.75%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -13.00%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -11.03%E -7.36%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.87%EV -14.33%E -3.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -15.12%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-29 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.23%EV -7.48%E -4.79%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -16.28%E -3.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -6.63%E -1.51%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -9.25%E -6.05%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.69%EV -16.28%E -3.79%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -10.88%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -8.66%E -5.62%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -18.23%E -4.34%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -8.76%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.37% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.82% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.94% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.30% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.97% | 1.5% | 2026-08-29 18:35 |