Language:English
Cercle Brugge KSV v Dender
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)
Prediction 51.47%1.94fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.95%51.55%51.52%54.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.781.801.8660.24%56.14%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dender (Visit)
Prediction 22.50%4.44fair odd
EV +4.86%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.33%
Growth +0.065%
assuming max odds 4.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.66%22.44%22.47%23.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.224.204.6627.03%23.68%23.81%21.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.03%3.84fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.288%
Kelly -0.391%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.23%26.00%26.01%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.573.603.8033.33%27.97%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cercle Brugge KSV (Local): 51.47%; Dender (Visit): 22.50%; Draw: 26.03%. For Dender (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.16%EV -4.27%E -2.29%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.82%EV +4.86%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.065% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.02%EV -6.56%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -1.10%E -0.288%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -1.10%E -0.288%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.00%EV -9.41%E -5.35%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.40%E -0.639%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.00%EV -9.41%E -5.35%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.40%E -0.639%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.90%E -5.03%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.986%E -0.224%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -11.99%E -7.01%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -0.986%E -0.224%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.24%E -0.753%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -14.05%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -3.24%E -0.753%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-01 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -14.05%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -3.24%E -0.753%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-01 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.90%EV -4.27%E -2.29%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.56%EV -3.69%E -0.861%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.54%EV -1.62%E -0.428%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.81%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.81%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.91%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.10%EV -6.82%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 18:02 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.14%EV -14.56%E -8.77%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.64%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.23%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.80%EV -12.50%E -7.35%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.30%EV -11.11%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-01 18:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.02%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.72%EV -11.56%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.24%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -12.24%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -12.81%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -14.05%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -21.92%E -7.31%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-01 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -16.74%E -4.52%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.96% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.62% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10% | 2.2% | 2026-03-01 18:10 |