La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cercle Brugge KSV v Dender
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)
Predicción 51.47%1.94momio equitativo
EV -4.27%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -4.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.95%51.55%51.52%54.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.781.801.8660.24%56.14%55.56%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dender (Visitante)
Predicción 22.50%4.44momio equitativo
EV +4.86%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.065%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.66%22.44%22.47%23.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.224.204.6627.03%23.68%23.81%21.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.03%3.84momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.288%
Kelly -0.391%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.23%26.00%26.01%27.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.573.603.8033.33%27.97%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.16%EV -4.27%E -2.29%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.82%EV +4.86%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.065% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.02%EV -6.56%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -1.10%E -0.288%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -1.10%E -0.288%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.00%EV -9.41%E -5.35%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.40%E -0.639%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.00%EV -9.41%E -5.35%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.40%E -0.639%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.90%E -5.03%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.986%E -0.224%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -11.99%E -7.01%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -0.986%E -0.224%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.24%E -0.753%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -14.05%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -3.24%E -0.753%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-01 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -14.05%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -3.24%E -0.753%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-01 18:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.90%EV -4.27%E -2.29%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.56%EV -3.69%E -0.861%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.54%EV -1.62%E -0.428%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.81%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.81%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.91%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.10%EV -6.82%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:03 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 18:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| Suprabets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-01 18:02 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 17:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 17:39 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 17:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.14%EV -14.56%E -8.77%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.64%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.23%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.80%EV -12.50%E -7.35%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.30%EV -11.11%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-01 18:03 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.02%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.72%EV -11.56%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.24%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -12.24%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -12.81%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-01 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -14.05%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -21.92%E -7.31%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-01 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -16.74%E -4.52%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-01 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.96% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-01 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-03-01 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.62% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10% | 2.2% | 2026-03-01 18:10 |