L’École des cotes

Cercle Brugge KSV v Dender

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 18:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Prévision 51.47%1.94cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -4.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.95%51.55%51.52%54.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.781.801.8660.24%56.14%55.56%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dender (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.50%4.44cote équitable
EV +4.86%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.065%

avec la cote maximale 4.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.66%22.44%22.47%23.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.224.204.6627.03%23.68%23.81%21.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.03%3.84cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.288%
Kelly -0.391%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.23%26.00%26.01%27.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.573.603.8033.33%27.97%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.16%EV -4.27%E -2.29%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.82%EV +4.86%E +1.04%K +1.33%G +0.065%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.02%EV -6.56%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 18:09
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -1.10%E -0.288%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 18:04
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.90%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -1.10%E -0.288%K -0.391%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-01 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.00%EV -9.41%E -5.35%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.40%E -0.639%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 18:04
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.00%EV -9.41%E -5.35%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.66%EV +3.51%E +0.764%K +0.976%G +0.034%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.40%E -0.639%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 18:04
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 18:04
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 18:00
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 18:04
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 18:00
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:04
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:04
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV +1.26%E +0.281%K +0.361%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:04
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.90%E -5.03%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -0.986%E -0.224%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -11.99%E -7.01%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -0.986%E -0.224%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 18:04
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.24%E -0.753%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 17:39
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -14.05%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -3.24%E -0.753%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -14.05%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -3.24%E -0.753%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 18:05
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.90%EV -4.27%E -2.29%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.56%EV -3.69%E -0.861%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.54%EV -1.62%E -0.428%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 18:09
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.81%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 17:59
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.81%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.43%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 18:00
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.91%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -4.36%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.10%EV -6.82%E -1.91%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 18:00
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 17:39
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-01 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -5.30%E -2.88%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 18:00
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 18:00
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 17:39
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:03
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 17:44
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:04
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 18:05
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:44
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:44
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -5.49%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-01 17:59
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.70%E -1.000%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 18:00
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.34%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 17:59
Suprabets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.48%EV -6.33%E -3.48%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.00%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 18:02
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.74%E -1.89%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 17:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -5.81%E -3.18%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:44
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 17:39
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 18:09
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-01 18:04
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 17:40
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.11%EV -10.96%E -6.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-01 18:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.14%EV -14.56%E -8.77%K -22.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.64%EV -9.99%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.23%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-01 18:00
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.80%EV -12.50%E -7.35%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.30%EV -11.11%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-01 18:03
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.02%EV -9.93%E -5.67%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.72%EV -11.56%E -2.94%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-01 17:59
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.38%E -4.71%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -12.24%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.88%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -12.24%E -3.14%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -12.81%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-01 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.95%EV -14.05%E -8.41%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.24%EV -15.61%E -4.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.81%EV -21.92%E -7.31%K -10.96%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-01 17:34
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -16.74%E -4.52%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.51%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 17:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.96%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-01 18:04
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-01 18:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-03-01 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.59%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-03-01 18:10
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.62%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.10%2.2%2026-03-01 18:10