Language:English
Anderlecht v Union Saint-Gilloise
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anderlecht (Local)
Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV -0.695%
Edge -0.184%
Kelly -0.250%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.19%26.31%26.17%27.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.523.503.7832.26%28.43%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit)
Prediction 46.16%2.17fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.87%46.16%46.20%47.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.002.002.1054.64%50.04%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.57%3.63fair odd
EV -0.744%
Edge -0.207%
Kelly -0.286%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%27.53%27.63%29.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.343.353.6034.72%29.91%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anderlecht (Local): 26.27%; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit): 46.16%; Draw: 27.57%. For Anderlecht (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.78, with an expected value of -0.695%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -0.695%E -0.184%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -1.48%E -0.396%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%EV -3.07%E -1.46%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -1.48%E -0.396%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%EV -3.07%E -1.46%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.06%E -0.829%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.55%EV -7.22%E -3.59%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -0.744%E -0.207%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.36%EV -4.90%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.83%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:52 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -2.95%E -0.838%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.07%E -4.60%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.99%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:43 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -10.45%E -5.39%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -10.45%E -5.39%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 20:43 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.65%EV -12.30%E -6.47%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.65%EV -12.30%E -6.47%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -12.78%E -3.85%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.51%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.62%EV -10.95%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -15.53%E -8.49%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -20.60%E -7.15%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -18.56%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.87%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -13.15%E -4.17%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.79% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.05% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.79% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 27.41% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 21.80% | 80.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.79% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 27.41% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 21.80% | 80.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 51.97% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 26.76% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 21.28% | 85.0% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |