L’École des cotes

Anderlecht v Union Saint-Gilloise

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anderlecht (Local)

Prévision 26.27%3.81cote équitable
EV -0.695%
Avantage -0.184%
Kelly -0.250%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.19%26.31%26.17%27.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.523.503.7832.26%28.43%28.57%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.16%2.17cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -2.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.87%46.16%46.20%47.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.002.002.1054.64%50.04%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.57%3.63cote équitable
EV -0.744%
Avantage -0.207%
Kelly -0.286%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.50%27.53%27.63%29.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.343.353.6034.72%29.91%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -0.695%E -0.184%K -0.250%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:30
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -1.48%E -0.396%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%EV -3.07%E -1.46%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 19:10
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -1.48%E -0.396%K -0.539%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%EV -3.07%E -1.46%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 19:10
1xBet3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.06%E -0.829%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.55%EV -7.22%E -3.59%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -0.744%E -0.207%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 19:10
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 19:10
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 19:10
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 19:10
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 19:09
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:19
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 21:19
Suprabets3.62I 27.62%NM 25.36%EV -4.90%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.83%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 21:19
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:29
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 21:19
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 19:10
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 19:19
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:52
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -2.95%E -0.838%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:35
Unibet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 19:10
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 19:10
TABtouch3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.07%E -4.60%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 19:10
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:44
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:40
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:40
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 19:19
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 19:19
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 19:24
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-22 19:10
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-24 02:15
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 21:19
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 19:24
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.99%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:43
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -10.45%E -5.39%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 19:10
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -10.45%E -5.39%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 19:10
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 20:43
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 21:39
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 21:39
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 21:39
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 21:39
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 19:24
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.65%EV -12.30%E -6.47%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 19:24
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.65%EV -12.30%E -6.47%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 21:29
Betclic (FR)3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -12.78%E -3.85%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.51%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.62%EV -10.95%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 20:44
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -15.53%E -8.49%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -20.60%E -7.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-23 22:19
Winamax (DE)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-23 20:45
Winamax (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -18.56%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.87%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -13.15%E -4.17%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 20:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.79%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.05%7.1%2026-04-24 00:25
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%11.1%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 50.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 27.41%2.54I 39.37%NM 21.80%80.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 50.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 27.41%2.54I 39.37%NM 21.80%80.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 51.97%2.02I 49.50%NM 26.76%2.54I 39.37%NM 21.28%85.0%2026-04-24 03:50