La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Anderlecht v Union Saint-Gilloise
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anderlecht (Local)
Predicción 26.27%3.81momio equitativo
EV -0.695%
Ventaja -0.184%
Kelly -0.250%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.19%26.31%26.17%27.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.503.7832.26%28.43%28.57%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Union Saint-Gilloise (Visitante)
Predicción 46.16%2.17momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.87%46.16%46.20%47.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.002.002.1054.64%50.04%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.57%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.744%
Ventaja -0.207%
Kelly -0.286%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.50%27.53%27.63%29.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.353.6034.72%29.91%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.19%EV -0.695%E -0.184%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.13%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.68%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 21:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -1.48%E -0.396%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%EV -3.07%E -1.46%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -1.48%E -0.396%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.30%EV -3.07%E -1.46%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| 1xBet | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.90%EV -3.06%E -0.829%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.55%EV -7.22%E -3.59%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -0.744%E -0.207%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.39%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.88%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Casumo | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| betPARX | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 19:09 |
| NordicBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| Betsson | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| Suprabets | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.36%EV -4.90%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.83%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| DraftKings | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.84%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| BetRivers | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:52 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -2.95%E -0.838%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Unibet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.46%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.07%E -4.60%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.50%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -4.92%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -3.99%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 20:43 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -10.45%E -5.39%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.31%EV -10.45%E -5.39%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.26%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 20:43 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.65%EV -12.30%E -6.47%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.65%EV -12.30%E -6.47%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 21:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.87%EV -12.78%E -3.85%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.51%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.62%EV -10.95%E -3.39%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.32%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -15.53%E -8.49%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -20.60%E -7.15%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.26%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -18.56%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.87%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -13.15%E -4.17%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.79% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.05% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.79% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 27.41% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 21.80% | 80.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.79% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 27.41% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 21.80% | 80.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 51.97% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 26.76% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 21.28% | 85.0% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |