Anderlecht v RAAL La Louvière

2026-08-09 16:30 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

54%

20%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Anderlecht (Local)

Prediction 53.92%1.85fair odd

EV -4.02%

Edge -2.26%

Kelly -5.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.89%53.92%53.92%54.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.621.701.671.7862%59%60%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

RAAL La Louvière (Visit)

Prediction 19.66%5.09fair odd

EV -3.69%

Edge -0.753%

Kelly -0.946%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.07%19.66%19.66%21.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.854.434.504.9026%23%22%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.42%3.78fair odd

EV -4.35%

Edge -1.20%

Kelly -1.66%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.94%26.42%26.42%27.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.203.393.403.6231%29%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.67%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%	4.79I 20.88%NM 19.94%EV -5.85%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%	3.62I 27.62%NM 26.39%EV -4.35%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-17 11:25
Betr (AU)	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.99%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.62%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-17 11:15
Betsson	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.87%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%	4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -8.60%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-17 11:34
NordicBet	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.87%EV -4.02%E -2.26%K -5.15%G +0.000%	4.65I 21.51%NM 20.24%EV -8.60%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-17 11:35
Tipico (DE)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.91%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-17 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -9.59%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-07-17 11:30
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -11.55%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-17 11:15
Sky Bet	1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -17.45%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -15.44%E -4.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%	14.9%	2026-07-17 11:15
SportsBet	1.66I 60.24%NM 53.18%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.90%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -13.52%E -3.07%K -3.98%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-07-17 11:15
Winamax (DE)	1.66I 60.24%NM 52.34%EV -10.49%E -6.32%K -15.90%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.72%EV -21.38%E -5.34%K -7.13%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%	15.1%	2026-07-17 11:15
Unibet (FR)	1.64I 60.98%NM 52.64%EV -11.57%E -7.05%K -18.08%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 20.80%EV -18.43%E -4.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 26.56%EV -14.12%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-07-17 11:15
Betclic (FR)	1.64I 60.98%NM 52.64%EV -11.57%E -7.05%K -18.08%G +0.000%	4.15I 24.10%NM 20.80%EV -18.43%E -4.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 26.56%EV -14.12%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-07-17 11:18
Winamax (FR)	1.62I 61.73%NM 51.89%EV -12.65%E -7.81%K -20.40%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 21.84%EV -24.33%E -6.32%K -8.54%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 26.27%EV -15.44%E -4.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%	19.0%	2026-07-17 11:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.