Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anderlecht v RAAL La Louvière

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 16:30 UTC

Final: Anderlecht 2–1 RAAL La Louvière

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anderlecht (Local)

Prediction 56.22%1.78fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.89%56.38%56.24%58.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.651.671.7364.52%60.65%60.06%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RAAL La Louvière (Visit)

Prediction 18.80%5.32fair odd
EV +7.19%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.110%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.78%18.62%18.82%19.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.955.005.7022.22%20.20%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.97%4.00fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.668%
Kelly -0.898%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.30%24.99%24.94%25.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.673.653.9028.99%27.23%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anderlecht (Local): 56.22%; RAAL La Louvière (Visit): 18.80%; Draw: 24.97%. For RAAL La Louvière (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.32. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.98%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.78%EV +7.19%E +1.26%K +1.53%G +0.110%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.24%EV -5.35%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -10.05%E -6.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV +3.43%E +0.623%K +0.761%G +0.026%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:19
Suprabets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +3.43%E +0.623%K +0.761%G +0.026%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -8.60%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 16:23
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -0.335%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 15:54
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -0.335%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 15:55
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.72%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.41%EV -0.899%E -0.171%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -2.60%E -0.668%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-09 16:19
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -1.27%E -0.243%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -1.27%E -0.243%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -3.16%E -0.613%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -4.10%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.73%EV -2.74%E -1.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -4.10%E -0.803%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.73%EV -2.74%E -1.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -4.10%E -0.803%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.99%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 14:19
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.99%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 16:19
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 16:25
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 16:24
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 16:19
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -10.05%E -6.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.73%E -7.47%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.73%E -7.47%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.73%E -7.47%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.84%EV -12.86%E -8.29%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.40%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.85%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.85%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.85%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:20
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:15
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:14
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 16:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.06%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.02%EV -9.35%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -10.05%E -6.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 16:05
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.68%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 15:29
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 16:15
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.30%EV -11.73%E -7.47%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.75%EV -7.80%E -4.75%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.94%EV -8.36%E -5.13%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.89%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.89%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.89%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -10.05%E -6.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.38%E -3.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.09%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.09%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.88%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-08-09 16:25
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.88%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-08-09 16:25
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-08-09 16:25
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-08-09 16:20