Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Anderlecht v RAAL La Louvière

Início: 2026-08-09 16:30 UTC

Final: Anderlecht 2–1 RAAL La Louvière

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Anderlecht (Local)

Previsão 56.22%1.78odd justa
EV -2.74%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -3.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.89%56.38%56.24%58.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.651.671.7364.52%60.65%60.06%57.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

RAAL La Louvière (Visitante)

Previsão 18.80%5.32odd justa
EV +7.19%
Vantagem +1.26%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescimento +0.110%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.78%18.62%18.82%19.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.955.005.7022.22%20.20%20.00%17.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.97%4.00odd justa
EV -2.60%
Vantagem -0.668%
Kelly -0.898%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.30%24.99%24.94%25.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.673.653.9028.99%27.23%27.40%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Anderlecht (Local): 56.22%; RAAL La Louvière (Visitante): 18.80%; Empate: 24.97%. Para RAAL La Louvière (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.32. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.19%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.98%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.78%EV +7.19%E +1.26%K +1.53%G +0.110%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.24%EV -5.35%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -10.05%E -6.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV +3.43%E +0.623%K +0.761%G +0.026%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:19
Suprabets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +3.43%E +0.623%K +0.761%G +0.026%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -8.60%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 16:23
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -0.335%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 15:54
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -0.335%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 15:55
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.72%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.41%EV -0.899%E -0.171%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -2.60%E -0.668%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-09 16:19
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -1.27%E -0.243%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -1.27%E -0.243%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -3.16%E -0.613%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -4.10%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.73%EV -2.74%E -1.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -4.10%E -0.803%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.73%EV -2.74%E -1.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -4.10%E -0.803%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.99%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 14:19
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.99%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 16:19
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 16:25
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 16:24
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 16:19
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -10.05%E -6.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.73%E -7.47%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.73%E -7.47%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.73%E -7.47%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.84%EV -12.86%E -8.29%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.40%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.85%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.85%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.85%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:20
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:15
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:14
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 16:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.06%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.02%EV -9.35%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -10.05%E -6.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 16:05
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.68%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 15:29
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 16:15
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.30%EV -11.73%E -7.47%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.75%EV -7.80%E -4.75%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.94%EV -8.36%E -5.13%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.89%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.89%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.89%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -10.05%E -6.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.38%E -3.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 16:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.09%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.09%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.88%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-08-09 16:25
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.88%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-08-09 16:25
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-08-09 16:25
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-08-09 16:20