L’École des cotes

Anderlecht v RAAL La Louvière

2026-08-09 16:30 UTC — Belgium First Div

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Anderlecht (Local)

Prévision 52.97%1.89cote équitable
EV -4.13%
Avantage -2.28%
Kelly -5.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.89%53.19%52.99%54.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.701.701.8163.29%58.70%58.82%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

RAAL La Louvière (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.47%4.89cote équitable
EV +0.280%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.072%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.07%20.27%20.48%21.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.404.354.9025.97%22.74%22.99%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.57%3.76cote équitable
EV -4.36%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.94%26.54%26.53%27.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.403.403.6031.75%29.40%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.97%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV +0.280%E +0.057%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 11:15
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.10%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.79%E -0.587%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-19 11:50
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -2.79%E -0.587%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 17:35
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.75%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -4.36%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 12:35
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 12:50
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-24 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -11.54%E -6.91%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 11:30
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.74%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.52%EV -6.49%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -8.36%E -4.83%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.02%E -2.01%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 20:44
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.36%E -4.83%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-22 08:50
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -11.54%E -6.91%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-17 11:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 53.18%EV -12.07%E -7.27%K -18.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-17 11:15
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 18:24
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:35
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:39
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:39
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:40
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:40
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:40
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:40
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:50
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 22:38
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.95%E -5.85%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.98%E -2.52%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.68%E -2.85%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 23:55
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.89%EV -12.07%E -7.27%K -18.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.66%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.45%EV -11.80%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.53%EV -11.54%E -6.91%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -12.33%E -3.74%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 16:35
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 52.10%EV -11.54%E -6.91%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -14.99%E -4.68%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-17 11:15
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.00%EV -16.31%E -10.32%K -28.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.42%EV -16.09%E -3.92%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.58%EV -16.32%E -5.18%K -7.59%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-24 12:35
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.34%EV -12.07%E -7.27%K -18.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.72%EV -18.14%E -4.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.94%EV -11.00%E -3.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-17 11:15
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.89%EV -14.19%E -8.76%K -22.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.84%EV -21.21%E -5.51%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.27%EV -14.99%E -4.68%K -6.81%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-17 11:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 51.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.14%17.0%2026-07-20 17:35