Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anderlecht v RAAL La Louvière

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 16:30 UTC

Score final : Anderlecht 2–1 RAAL La Louvière

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anderlecht (Local)

Prévision 56.22%1.78cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -3.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.89%56.38%56.24%58.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.651.671.7364.52%60.65%60.06%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

RAAL La Louvière (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.80%5.32cote équitable
EV +7.19%
Avantage +1.26%
Kelly +1.53%
Croissance +0.110%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.78%18.62%18.82%19.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.955.005.7022.22%20.20%20.00%17.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.97%4.00cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.668%
Kelly -0.898%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.30%24.99%24.94%25.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.673.653.9028.99%27.23%27.40%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Anderlecht (Local) : 56.22% ; RAAL La Louvière (Visiteur) : 18.80% ; Match nul : 24.97%. Pour RAAL La Louvière (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.32. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.70, soit une espérance positive de +7.19%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.98%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.78%EV +7.19%E +1.26%K +1.53%G +0.110%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.24%EV -5.35%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -10.05%E -6.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV +3.43%E +0.623%K +0.761%G +0.026%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 16:19
Suprabets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV +3.43%E +0.623%K +0.761%G +0.026%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.48%EV -8.60%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 16:23
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -0.335%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 15:54
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.27%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -0.335%E -0.063%K -0.078%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 15:55
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.72%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.41%EV -0.899%E -0.171%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -2.60%E -0.668%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-09 16:19
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -1.27%E -0.243%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.60%EV -9.48%E -5.89%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -1.27%E -0.243%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -3.16%E -0.613%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -4.10%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.73%EV -2.74%E -1.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -4.10%E -0.803%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.73%EV -2.74%E -1.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -4.10%E -0.803%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 16:15
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.99%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 14:19
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.99%E -2.95%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 16:19
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -4.42%E -2.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 16:25
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.10%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 16:24
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 16:19
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -10.05%E -6.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 12:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -11.73%E -7.47%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.73%E -7.47%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.73%E -7.47%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.84%EV -12.86%E -8.29%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.62%EV -5.98%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.54%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.40%EV -3.86%E -2.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.85%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.85%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -3.85%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 16:20
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:15
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:14
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.55%E -3.30%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.86%E -1.60%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 16:15
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 16:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -6.11%E -3.66%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.06%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.02%EV -9.35%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -10.05%E -6.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.74%E -2.03%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 16:05
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.68%E -2.25%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.10%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 15:29
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -6.67%E -4.02%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 16:15
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.23%E -4.38%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 16:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.30%EV -11.73%E -7.47%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -11.62%E -2.47%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -11.34%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.75%EV -7.80%E -4.75%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.94%EV -8.36%E -5.13%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -12.59%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.89%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.89%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.89%EV -8.92%E -5.51%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.50%E -2.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -13.84%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -10.05%E -6.28%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -15.38%E -3.42%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.44%EV -8.85%E -2.42%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 16:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.09%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.09%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-08-09 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.88%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-08-09 16:25
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.88%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.53%0.4%2026-08-09 16:25
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.14%0.7%2026-08-09 16:25
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-08-09 16:20