Language:English
Anderlecht v Gent
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anderlecht (Local)
Prediction 47.78%2.09fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.21%47.81%47.75%49.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.941.952.0655.56%51.54%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gent (Visit)
Prediction 26.14%3.83fair odd
EV -0.155%
Edge -0.041%
Kelly -0.055%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%26.07%26.13%27.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.523.503.8232.26%28.41%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.08%3.83fair odd
EV -0.889%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.317%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.07%26.12%26.13%27.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.533.553.8033.33%28.36%28.17%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anderlecht (Local): 47.78%; Gent (Visit): 26.14%; Draw: 26.08%. For Gent (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.82, with an expected value of -0.155%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%EV -1.57%E -0.763%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV -3.03%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.98%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.889%E -0.234%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.98%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.889%E -0.234%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.98%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.889%E -0.234%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:28 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.57%EV -4.92%E -2.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.30%EV -0.155%E -0.041%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -5.87%E -2.98%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.72%EV -4.86%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 16:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.63%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 16:28 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.23%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.77%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.77%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 16:26 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.49%EV -10.35%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.19%EV -9.50%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 16:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -0.678%E -0.178%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -0.889%E -0.234%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -15.05%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -9.69%E -5.13%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -10.17%E -5.41%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -1.98%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -10.17%E -5.41%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -10.65%E -5.70%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -15.23%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -12.08%E -6.57%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -12.56%E -6.86%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -18.97%E -6.12%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -21.75%E -7.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.94%EV -13.99%E -7.77%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.02%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.73% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.75% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.68% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |