Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anderlecht v Gent

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 16:32 UTC

Score final : Anderlecht 3–1 Gent

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anderlecht (Local)

Prévision 47.78%2.09cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.763%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.21%47.81%47.75%49.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.941.952.0655.56%51.54%51.28%48.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Gent (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.14%3.83cote équitable
EV -0.155%
Avantage -0.041%
Kelly -0.055%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.59%26.07%26.13%27.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.523.503.8232.26%28.41%28.57%26.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.08%3.83cote équitable
EV -0.889%
Avantage -0.234%
Kelly -0.317%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.07%26.12%26.13%27.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.533.553.8033.33%28.36%28.17%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Anderlecht (Local) : 47.78% ; Gent (Visiteur) : 26.14% ; Match nul : 26.08%. Pour Gent (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.82, pour une espérance de -0.155% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%EV -1.57%E -0.763%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV -3.03%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.98%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.889%E -0.234%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.98%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.889%E -0.234%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.98%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.889%E -0.234%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 16:30
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 16:29
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 16:29
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:30
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 16:28
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 16:30
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 16:30
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.57%EV -4.92%E -2.47%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.30%EV -0.155%E -0.041%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 16:29
Suprabets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -5.87%E -2.98%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.72%EV -4.86%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 16:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.63%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 16:28
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:29
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 16:30
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 16:30
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 16:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 16:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 16:29
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.23%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.77%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 16:30
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.77%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 16:30
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:30
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 16:26
Unibet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:29
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:29
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.49%EV -10.35%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.19%EV -9.50%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 16:26
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -0.678%E -0.178%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -0.889%E -0.234%K -0.317%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 16:30
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -15.05%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -9.69%E -5.13%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -10.17%E -5.41%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -1.98%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -10.17%E -5.41%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 16:29
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -10.65%E -5.70%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 16:30
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 16:30
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -15.23%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-12 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -12.08%E -6.57%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -12.56%E -6.86%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -18.97%E -6.12%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -21.75%E -7.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-12 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.94%EV -13.99%E -7.77%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.02%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-04-12 16:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-04-12 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-04-12 16:30
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 46.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%2.9%2026-04-12 16:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%3.8%2026-04-12 16:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 47.75%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.68%9.1%2026-04-12 16:30