La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Anderlecht v Gent
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anderlecht (Local)
Predicción 47.78%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.763%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.21%47.81%47.75%49.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.941.952.0655.56%51.54%51.28%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gent (Visitante)
Predicción 26.14%3.83momio equitativo
EV -0.155%
Ventaja -0.041%
Kelly -0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.59%26.07%26.13%27.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.503.8232.26%28.41%28.57%26.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.08%3.83momio equitativo
EV -0.889%
Ventaja -0.234%
Kelly -0.317%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.07%26.12%26.13%27.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.533.553.8033.33%28.36%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.00%EV -1.57%E -0.763%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV -3.03%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -3.48%E -1.72%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.98%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.889%E -0.234%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.98%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.889%E -0.234%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.55%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.98%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -0.889%E -0.234%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 16:28 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.57%EV -4.92%E -2.47%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.30%EV -0.155%E -0.041%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.12%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Suprabets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -5.87%E -2.98%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.72%EV -4.86%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 16:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.43%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.07%EV -6.63%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 16:28 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -11.32%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -6.83%E -3.50%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.23%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.77%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -7.31%E -3.77%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.43%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 16:26 |
| Unibet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.80%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.49%EV -10.35%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.19%EV -9.50%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 16:26 |
| Coolbet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -0.678%E -0.178%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -0.889%E -0.234%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.93%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.74%E -4.58%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -15.05%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -9.69%E -5.13%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.10%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -10.17%E -5.41%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -1.98%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -10.17%E -5.41%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -10.65%E -5.70%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.50%E -0.945%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -8.71%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -11.61%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -15.23%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.10%EV -12.08%E -6.57%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.41%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.45%EV -12.56%E -6.86%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -18.97%E -6.12%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.72%EV -21.75%E -7.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.94%EV -13.99%E -7.77%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -10.02%E -2.90%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83% | 0.7% | 2026-04-12 16:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.73% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63% | 2.9% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.75% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.68% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 16:30 |