Language:English
WSG Tirol v RB Salzburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
WSG Tirol (Local)
Prediction 14.03%7.13fair odd
EV +5.64%
Edge +0.749%
Kelly +0.864%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 7.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.85%13.93%14.28%15.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.776.507.5317.39%14.76%15.38%13.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
RB Salzburg (Visit)
Prediction 67.53%1.48fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -6.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.61%67.56%67.23%69.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.351.351.4478.13%73.99%74.07%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.44%5.42fair odd
EV +0.140%
Edge +0.026%
Kelly +0.032%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.73%18.51%18.49%20.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.874.905.4322.22%20.52%20.41%18.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: WSG Tirol (Local): 14.03%; RB Salzburg (Visit): 67.53%; Draw: 18.44%. For WSG Tirol (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.13. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.53I 13.28%NM 12.75%EV +5.64%E +0.749%K +0.864%G +0.049% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.66%EV -2.76%E -1.92%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.60%EV -14.06%E -3.02%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -5.95%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 14:43 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -12.21%E -9.39%K -40.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -13.56%E -10.60%K -48.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -13.56%E -10.60%K -48.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -13.56%E -10.60%K -48.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 07:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -13.56%E -10.60%K -48.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +1.71%E +0.236%K +0.274%G +0.005% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -3.18%E -0.606%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.32%EV +1.57%E +0.217%K +0.252%G +0.004% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.91%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.77%EV +0.140%E +0.026%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV +1.01%E +0.140%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.10%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -4.10%E -0.789%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -3.18%E -0.606%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.85%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -4.10%E -0.789%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.85%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -4.10%E -0.789%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.51%E -7.10%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -12.21%E -9.39%K -40.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -4.60%E -0.677%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.07%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -16.09%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -4.60%E -0.677%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.07%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -16.09%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.63%EV -6.13%E -4.41%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -3.18%E -0.606%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.16%E -6.00%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.16%E -6.00%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.73%EV -10.56%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 14:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.28%EV -11.54%E -8.81%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.21%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.85%EV -8.16%E -6.00%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -10.21%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.51%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -12.32%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -12.32%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -12.32%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -17.01%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -12.32%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.69%EV -9.51%E -7.10%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -13.32%E -2.83%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 14:42 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.96%EV -8.16%E -6.00%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -5.95%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.21%EV -17.23%E -2.92%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.48%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.31%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |