Idioma:Español
WSG Tirol v RB Salzburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
WSG Tirol (Local)
Predicción 14.03%7.13momio equitativo
EV +5.64%
Ventaja +0.749%
Kelly +0.864%
Crecimiento +0.049%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.85%13.93%14.28%15.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.756.776.507.5317.39%14.76%15.38%13.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
RB Salzburg (Visitante)
Predicción 67.53%1.48momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -6.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.61%67.56%67.23%69.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.351.351.4478.13%73.99%74.07%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.44%5.42momio equitativo
EV +0.140%
Ventaja +0.026%
Kelly +0.032%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.73%18.51%18.49%20.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.504.874.905.4322.22%20.52%20.41%18.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: WSG Tirol (Local): 14.03%; RB Salzburg (Visitante): 67.53%; Empate: 18.44%. Para WSG Tirol (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.13. 18 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.53, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.64%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.53I 13.28%NM 12.75%EV +5.64%E +0.749%K +0.864%G +0.049% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.66%EV -2.76%E -1.92%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.60%EV -14.06%E -3.02%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -5.95%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 14:43 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 07:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -12.21%E -9.39%K -40.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -13.56%E -10.60%K -48.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 07:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -13.56%E -10.60%K -48.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -13.56%E -10.60%K -48.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 07:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -13.56%E -10.60%K -48.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 07:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +1.71%E +0.236%K +0.274%G +0.005% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -3.18%E -0.606%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.32%EV +1.57%E +0.217%K +0.252%G +0.004% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.91%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.77%EV +0.140%E +0.026%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV +1.01%E +0.140%K +0.163%G +0.002% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.10%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -4.10%E -0.789%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -3.18%E -0.606%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.85%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -4.10%E -0.789%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.85%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -4.10%E -0.789%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.51%E -7.10%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -12.21%E -9.39%K -40.71%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -4.60%E -0.677%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.07%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -16.09%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -4.60%E -0.677%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.07%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -16.09%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.63%EV -6.13%E -4.41%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -3.18%E -0.606%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.16%E -6.00%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.16%E -6.00%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.73%EV -10.56%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-16 14:38 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.28%EV -11.54%E -8.81%K -37.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.21%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.85%EV -8.16%E -6.00%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -10.21%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.51%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -12.32%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -12.32%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -12.32%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -17.01%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -12.32%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.69%EV -9.51%E -7.10%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -13.32%E -2.83%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 14:42 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.96%EV -8.16%E -6.00%K -22.67%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -5.95%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.21%EV -17.23%E -2.92%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.48%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.31%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |