Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

WSG Tirol v RB Salzburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 15:00 UTC

Score final : WSG Tirol 0–3 RB Salzburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

WSG Tirol (Local)

Prévision 14.03%7.13cote équitable
EV +5.64%
Avantage +0.749%
Kelly +0.864%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 7.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.85%13.93%14.28%15.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.756.776.507.5317.39%14.76%15.38%13.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

RB Salzburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.53%1.48cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.92%
Kelly -6.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.61%67.56%67.23%69.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.351.351.4478.13%73.99%74.07%69.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.44%5.42cote équitable
EV +0.140%
Avantage +0.026%
Kelly +0.032%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.73%18.51%18.49%20.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.874.905.4322.22%20.52%20.41%18.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : WSG Tirol (Local) : 14.03% ; RB Salzburg (Visiteur) : 67.53% ; Match nul : 18.44%. Pour WSG Tirol (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.13. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.53, soit une espérance positive de +5.64%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯7.53I 13.28%NM 12.75%EV +5.64%E +0.749%K +0.864%G +0.049%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.66%EV -2.76%E -1.92%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.60%EV -14.06%E -3.02%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 14:50
FanDuel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -5.95%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 14:43
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 07:39
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 07:39
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 07:40
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 07:39
Casumo🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 07:39
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 07:39
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 07:40
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 07:40
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -12.21%E -9.39%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 07:39
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -13.56%E -10.60%K -48.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -13.56%E -10.60%K -48.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 07:40
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -13.56%E -10.60%K -48.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV +5.22%E +0.696%K +0.803%G +0.042%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -13.56%E -10.60%K -48.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 07:39
Betr (AU)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV +1.71%E +0.236%K +0.274%G +0.005%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.81%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -3.18%E -0.606%K -0.748%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 14:40
Pinnacle🎯7.24I 13.81%NM 13.32%EV +1.57%E +0.217%K +0.252%G +0.004%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.91%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.77%EV +0.140%E +0.026%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV +1.01%E +0.140%K +0.163%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.10%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -4.10%E -0.789%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 14:50
Coolbet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -3.18%E -0.606%K -0.748%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 14:39
LowVig.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.85%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -4.10%E -0.789%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.28%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.85%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -4.10%E -0.789%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:54
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -9.51%E -7.10%K -27.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -1.80%E -0.257%K -0.299%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -12.21%E -9.39%K -40.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 14:50
NordicBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -4.60%E -0.677%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.07%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -16.09%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 14:50
Betsson🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -4.60%E -0.677%K -0.793%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.07%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -16.09%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 14:49
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.63%EV -6.13%E -4.41%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -3.18%E -0.606%K -0.748%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:34
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 14:25
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 14:34
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.16%E -6.00%K -22.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 14:34
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.16%E -6.00%K -22.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 14:34
Suprabets🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.73%EV -10.56%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-16 14:38
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 14:25
theScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 14:45
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 14:45
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -8.81%E -1.36%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.28%EV -11.54%E -8.81%K -37.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.21%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.85%EV -8.16%E -6.00%K -22.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -10.21%E -1.60%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.51%EV -10.86%E -8.23%K -33.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -11.48%E -2.39%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 14:44
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -12.32%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 14:24
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -12.32%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 14:35
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -12.32%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -17.01%E -3.78%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.30%EV -12.32%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.69%EV -9.51%E -7.10%K -27.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.01%EV -13.32%E -2.83%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:42
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -6.81%E -4.93%K -17.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -7.79%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.96%EV -8.16%E -6.00%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -5.95%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 14:44
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.82%E -2.64%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.19%E -7.66%K -30.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -12.40%E -2.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 14:19
Winamax (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.21%EV -17.23%E -2.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.48%EV -8.84%E -6.55%K -25.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.31%EV -9.63%E -1.97%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 14:44
Coral🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 14:19
Neds🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -19.33%E -3.36%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -5.46%E -3.90%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -15.17%E -3.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-16 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-16 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-16 14:55
Matchbook◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-08-16 14:45
Smarkets◎8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.63%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.1%2026-08-16 14:50