Language:English
WSG Tirol v Grazer AK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
WSG Tirol (Local)
Prediction 39.34%2.54fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.09%39.36%39.37%40.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.332.332.4646.51%42.99%42.92%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grazer AK (Visit)
Prediction 31.55%3.17fair odd
EV +4.42%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.084%
assuming max odds 3.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.81%31.43%31.50%32.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.882.903.3138.02%34.67%34.48%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.12%3.43fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.11%29.21%29.14%30.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.153.3535.71%31.96%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: WSG Tirol (Local): 39.34%; Grazer AK (Visit): 31.55%; Draw: 29.12%. For Grazer AK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.92%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV +4.42%E +1.33%K +1.91%G +0.084% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%EV -4.02%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -2.84%E -0.921%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -2.46%E -0.734%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.03%EV -3.23%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.22%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.75%EV -2.75%E -0.824%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.89%E -2.70%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.89%E -2.70%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.74%E -3.77%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.74%E -3.77%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.18%EV -8.74%E -3.77%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 31.78%EV -9.78%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.04%EV -8.87%E -2.83%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 15:57 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.10%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -10.32%E -3.35%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 15:58 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -10.31%E -4.52%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -10.31%E -4.52%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.43%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.13%EV -16.44%E -5.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -14.83%E -5.49%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.77%EV -15.42%E -7.17%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.46%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.77%EV -18.47%E -6.60%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -17.03%E -6.48%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -18.47%E -6.60%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.62% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |