L’École des cotes

WSG Tirol v Grazer AK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 16:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

WSG Tirol (Local)

Prévision 39.34%2.54cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.09%39.36%39.37%40.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.332.332.4646.51%42.99%42.92%40.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grazer AK (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.55%3.17cote équitable
EV +4.42%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +1.91%
Croissance +0.084%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.81%31.43%31.50%32.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.882.903.3138.02%34.67%34.48%30.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.12%3.43cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.11%29.21%29.14%30.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.133.153.3535.71%31.96%31.75%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.92%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV +4.42%E +1.33%K +1.91%G +0.084%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%EV -4.02%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -2.84%E -0.921%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -2.46%E -0.734%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 15:59
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 15:59
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 16:00
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:59
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 16:00
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.03%EV -3.23%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.22%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.75%EV -2.75%E -0.824%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:59
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:59
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.89%E -2.70%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.89%E -2.70%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:59
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 16:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 15:59
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 16:00
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 15:59
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 15:59
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-08 16:00
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.74%E -3.77%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 15:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.74%E -3.77%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Suprabets2.32I 43.10%NM 39.18%EV -8.74%E -3.77%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.78%EV -9.78%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.04%EV -8.87%E -2.83%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:57
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.10%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-08 15:59
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 16:00
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -10.32%E -3.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 15:58
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -10.31%E -4.52%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -10.31%E -4.52%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 15:59
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 16:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-08 15:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-08 15:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-08 15:59
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.43%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.13%EV -16.44%E -5.73%K -8.79%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-08 15:59
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -14.83%E -5.49%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-08 15:59
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 38.77%EV -15.42%E -7.17%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.46%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.77%EV -18.47%E -6.60%K -10.26%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -17.03%E -6.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -18.47%E -6.60%K -10.26%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-08 15:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66%0.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73%1.9%2026-03-08 16:00