La escuela de los momiosEspañol
WSG Tirol v Grazer AK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
WSG Tirol (Local)
Predicción 39.34%2.54momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.09%39.36%39.37%40.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.332.332.4646.51%42.99%42.92%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grazer AK (Visitante)
Predicción 31.55%3.17momio equitativo
EV +4.42%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +1.91%
Crecimiento +0.084%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.81%31.43%31.50%32.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.882.903.3138.02%34.67%34.48%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.12%3.43momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.734%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.11%29.21%29.14%30.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.153.3535.71%31.96%31.75%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.92%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.81%EV +4.42%E +1.33%K +1.91%G +0.084% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.27%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -2.21%E -0.712%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.67%EV -4.02%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -2.84%E -0.921%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -2.46%E -0.734%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.78%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -3.62%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.36%E -1.79%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.03%EV -3.23%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.22%EV -5.99%E -2.01%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.75%EV -2.75%E -0.824%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.94%E -2.35%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.89%E -2.70%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -7.89%E -2.70%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.37%E -1.65%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.59%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.52%E -2.94%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.74%E -3.77%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.74%E -3.77%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -9.15%E -3.18%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Suprabets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.18%EV -8.74%E -3.77%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 31.78%EV -9.78%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.04%EV -8.87%E -2.83%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 15:57 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.10%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.83%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.92%EV -8.34%E -3.58%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.26%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.28%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -10.09%E -3.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.99%EV -10.32%E -3.35%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 15:58 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -10.31%E -4.52%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -10.31%E -4.52%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -11.19%E -3.67%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -11.67%E -4.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -12.65%E -4.22%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.43%EV -11.49%E -5.11%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.44%EV -13.25%E -4.82%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.13%EV -16.44%E -5.73%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.46%E -6.12%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -14.83%E -5.49%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -9.74%E -3.14%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.77%EV -15.42%E -7.17%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.46%EV -16.40%E -6.19%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.77%EV -18.47%E -6.60%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -9.52%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -17.03%E -6.48%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -18.47%E -6.60%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.81% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.66% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.62% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 1.9% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |