Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wolfsberger AC v WSG Tirol

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 15:00 UTC

Final: Wolfsberger AC 2–0 WSG Tirol

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wolfsberger AC (Local)

Prediction 46.88%2.13fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.18%46.81%46.96%48.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.961.972.0554.64%50.96%50.76%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

WSG Tirol (Visit)

Prediction 26.76%3.74fair odd
EV -0.990%
Edge -0.268%
Kelly -0.367%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%26.84%26.76%28.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.423.453.7032.26%29.27%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.36%3.79fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.304%
Kelly -0.414%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.84%26.34%26.28%28.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.433.453.7533.33%29.15%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wolfsberger AC (Local): 46.88%; WSG Tirol (Visit): 26.76%; Draw: 26.36%. For WSG Tirol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.990%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:50
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -1.79%E -0.489%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.86%EV -5.88%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -4.84%E -2.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.31%EV -5.78%E -2.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.71%EV -4.74%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.98%EV -3.51%E -0.959%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:45
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 14:45
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 14:14
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 14:55
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -6.71%E -3.37%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -6.71%E -3.37%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:55
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.18%E -3.63%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.18%E -3.63%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -7.18%E -3.63%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 06:50
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
Suprabets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -8.12%E -4.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 14:48
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -0.990%E -0.268%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 14:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -1.14%E -0.304%K -0.414%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 06:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 06:50
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:55
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 06:50
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 06:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 14:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.11%EV -10.93%E -5.75%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.56%EV -11.16%E -3.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 14:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.87%E -6.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -11.87%E -6.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-16 06:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 14:45
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -14.21%E -7.77%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -20.91%E -6.97%K -10.46%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-05-16 14:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-16 14:55