Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wolfsberger AC v WSG Tirol

Início: 2026-05-16 15:00 UTC

Final: Wolfsberger AC 2–0 WSG Tirol

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wolfsberger AC (Local)

Previsão 46.88%2.13odd justa
EV -3.90%
Vantagem -1.90%
Kelly -3.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.18%46.81%46.96%48.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.961.972.0554.64%50.96%50.76%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

WSG Tirol (Visitante)

Previsão 26.76%3.74odd justa
EV -0.990%
Vantagem -0.268%
Kelly -0.367%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.48%26.84%26.76%28.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.423.453.7032.26%29.27%28.99%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.36%3.79odd justa
EV -1.14%
Vantagem -0.304%
Kelly -0.414%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.84%26.34%26.28%28.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.433.453.7533.33%29.15%28.99%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wolfsberger AC (Local): 46.88%; WSG Tirol (Visitante): 26.76%; Empate: 26.36%. Para WSG Tirol (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.74. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.70, com valor esperado de -0.990%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 13:50
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -1.79%E -0.489%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.86%EV -5.88%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -4.84%E -2.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.31%EV -5.78%E -2.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.71%EV -4.74%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.98%EV -3.51%E -0.959%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 14:45
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 14:45
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 14:45
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 14:14
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 14:55
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -6.71%E -3.37%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -6.71%E -3.37%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 14:55
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.18%E -3.63%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.18%E -3.63%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -7.18%E -3.63%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 06:50
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 06:50
Suprabets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -8.12%E -4.14%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 14:48
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -0.990%E -0.268%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 14:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -1.14%E -0.304%K -0.414%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 06:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 06:50
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 14:55
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 06:50
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 06:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 14:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.11%EV -10.93%E -5.75%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.56%EV -11.16%E -3.31%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 14:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.87%E -6.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -11.87%E -6.31%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-16 06:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 14:45
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -14.21%E -7.77%K -17.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -20.91%E -6.97%K -10.46%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-16 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.9%2026-05-16 14:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-05-16 14:55