La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wolfsberger AC v WSG Tirol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wolfsberger AC (Local)
Predicción 46.88%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -3.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.18%46.81%46.96%48.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.972.0554.64%50.96%50.76%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
WSG Tirol (Visitante)
Predicción 26.76%3.74momio equitativo
EV -0.990%
Ventaja -0.268%
Kelly -0.367%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.48%26.84%26.76%28.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.423.453.7032.26%29.27%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.36%3.79momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.304%
Kelly -0.414%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.84%26.34%26.28%28.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.433.453.7533.33%29.15%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.90%E -1.90%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.37%E -2.14%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.13%EV -1.79%E -0.489%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.86%EV -5.88%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.89%EV -4.84%E -2.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.31%EV -5.78%E -2.87%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.71%EV -4.74%E -1.33%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.98%EV -3.51%E -0.959%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.25%E -3.12%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -6.71%E -3.37%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.14%EV -6.71%E -3.37%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.18%E -3.63%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -7.18%E -3.63%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.74%EV -7.18%E -3.63%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -7.65%E -3.88%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -8.12%E -4.14%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 14:48 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -0.990%E -0.268%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -1.14%E -0.304%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.59%E -4.40%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.68%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -9.06%E -4.67%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -10.46%E -5.48%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -17.05%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -10.37%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-16 14:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.11%EV -10.93%E -5.75%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.33%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.56%EV -11.16%E -3.31%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 14:43 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -11.87%E -6.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -11.68%E -3.49%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -11.87%E -6.31%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -14.32%E -4.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-16 06:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.33%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -10.36%E -3.09%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-16 14:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.14%EV -13.28%E -7.18%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.02%EV -14.21%E -7.77%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -13.03%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.07%EV -20.91%E -6.97%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56% | 0.4% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.13% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.9% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |