Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wolfsberger AC v Austria Wien

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC

Final: Wolfsberger AC 3–0 Austria Wien

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wolfsberger AC (Local)

Prediction 40.19%2.49fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.84%40.16%40.20%41.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4046.51%43.57%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austria Wien (Visit)

Prediction 32.25%3.10fair odd
EV -0.347%
Edge -0.112%
Kelly -0.166%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.05%32.31%32.31%34.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.862.853.0937.04%35.03%35.09%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -0.933%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.62%27.53%27.49%28.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.303.253.5132.26%30.32%30.77%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wolfsberger AC (Local): 40.19%; Austria Wien (Visit): 32.25%; Draw: 27.56%. For Austria Wien (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.09, with an expected value of -0.347%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -12.92%E -4.79%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:39
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.80%EV -5.15%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -2.28%E -0.753%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.43%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.76%EV -5.15%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -2.28%E -0.753%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.76%EV -5.15%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -2.28%E -0.753%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:40
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 14:24
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 15:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:05
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 14:59
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:15
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.54%EV -7.15%E -3.10%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.05%EV -0.347%E -0.112%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 14:49
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:49
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:24
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:20
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 14:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 00:19
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 00:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 03:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 03:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 03:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 15:00
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 15:04
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -3.89%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 22:24
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -3.89%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 22:23
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 14:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 13:05
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 15:10
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -12.92%E -4.79%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 13:04
Suprabets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.06%EV -10.37%E -4.65%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.02%EV -10.02%E -3.59%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 00:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -10.37%E -4.65%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.05%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-29 03:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.14%EV -10.77%E -4.85%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.03%EV -12.37%E -3.89%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 14:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.58%E -5.26%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.58%E -5.26%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -11.58%E -5.26%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -12.92%E -4.79%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.20%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 14:34
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -13.59%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.92%E -4.79%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-22 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -13.59%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -13.20%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-02 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.97%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31%1.7%2026-08-02 14:50

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