Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wolfsberger AC v Austria Wien

Início: 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC

Final: Wolfsberger AC 3–0 Austria Wien

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wolfsberger AC (Local)

Previsão 40.19%2.49odd justa
EV -3.54%
Vantagem -1.47%
Kelly -2.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.84%40.16%40.20%41.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.302.302.4046.51%43.57%43.48%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Austria Wien (Visitante)

Previsão 32.25%3.10odd justa
EV -0.347%
Vantagem -0.112%
Kelly -0.166%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.05%32.31%32.31%34.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.862.853.0937.04%35.03%35.09%32.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.56%3.63odd justa
EV -3.27%
Vantagem -0.933%
Kelly -1.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.62%27.53%27.49%28.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.303.253.5132.26%30.32%30.77%28.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wolfsberger AC (Local): 40.19%; Austria Wien (Visitante): 32.25%; Empate: 27.56%. Para Austria Wien (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.10. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.09, com valor esperado de -0.347%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -12.92%E -4.79%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 14:39
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.80%EV -5.15%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.77%EV -2.28%E -0.753%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.43%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.76%EV -5.15%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -2.28%E -0.753%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.76%EV -5.15%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -2.28%E -0.753%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:40
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 14:24
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 15:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:05
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 14:59
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.59%EV -6.35%E -2.73%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.03%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-29 03:15
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.54%EV -7.15%E -3.10%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.05%EV -0.347%E -0.112%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 14:49
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:49
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.55%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:24
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:20
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 14:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 00:19
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 00:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 03:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 03:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-29 03:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 15:00
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 15:04
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -3.89%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 22:24
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -3.89%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.68%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 22:23
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 14:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 13:05
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.09%E -2.84%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 15:10
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-28 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -12.92%E -4.79%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 13:04
Suprabets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.06%EV -10.37%E -4.65%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.02%EV -10.02%E -3.59%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 00:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -10.37%E -4.65%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.05%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -14.57%E -4.70%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-29 03:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.14%EV -10.77%E -4.85%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.03%EV -12.37%E -3.89%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 14:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -11.58%E -5.26%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.58%E -5.26%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -11.58%E -5.26%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -12.92%E -4.79%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.20%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 14:34
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -13.59%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.92%E -4.79%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -9.06%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-22 13:44
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -13.59%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -13.20%E -4.19%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-02 14:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.13%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.97%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31%1.7%2026-08-02 14:50