La scuola delle quote

Wolfsberger AC v Austria Wien

2026-08-02 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Testa a testa

31 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Wolfsberger AC (Casa)

Previsione 40.38%2.48quota equa
EV -5.12%
Vantaggio -2.18%
Kelly -3.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.42%40.35%40.36%41.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.262.282.3548.78%44.17%43.86%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Austria Wien (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.05%3.12quota equa
EV -0.646%
Vantaggio -0.208%
Kelly -0.308%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.15%32.06%31.97%33.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.832.853.1038.46%35.36%35.09%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.58%3.63quota equa
EV -3.49%
Vantaggio -0.996%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.51%27.59%27.67%29.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.303.303.5032.79%30.27%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.05%EV -4.81%E -1.62%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.44%EV -4.31%E -1.24%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 14:54
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 21:29
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 00:57
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 00:59
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 21:34
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -5.12%E -2.18%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 15:09
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -5.93%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.01%EV -6.09%E -2.08%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -6.80%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-14 07:34
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 10:12
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -0.646%E -0.208%K -0.308%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-23 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.49%E -0.996%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 15:00
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 18:49
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 21:44
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 21:44
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 21:44
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.14%E -3.10%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 21:44
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -4.49%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 22:24
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -7.94%E -3.48%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -4.49%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.62%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 22:23
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.06%E -2.43%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 19:04
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.66%E -3.04%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.38%E -3.19%K -4.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-11 21:29
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-11 21:29
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-11 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -9.16%E -4.07%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-11 21:29
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -11.17%E -5.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -6.24%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-21 13:25
Suprabets2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -11.17%E -5.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.86%E -4.31%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-11 14:58
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -11.17%E -5.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -15.07%E -5.69%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-12 00:59
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -11.17%E -5.08%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -16.67%E -6.41%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-12 00:59
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -13.19%E -6.14%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -9.00%E -2.73%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-22 13:44
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -13.19%E -6.14%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -10.26%E -3.66%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -13.14%E -4.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 15:05
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -13.19%E -6.14%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -13.47%E -4.99%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -11.76%E -3.67%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-11 21:54
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%EV -17.23%E -8.41%K -16.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.04%EV -16.67%E -6.41%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.32%EV -15.90%E -5.21%K -7.75%G +0.000%20.0%2026-07-11 21:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 38.98%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.61%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%9.6%2026-07-23 05:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 38.98%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.61%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%9.6%2026-07-23 06:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 38.98%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.61%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%9.6%2026-07-24 20:15