Language:English
Sturm Graz v Rheindorf Altach
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sturm Graz (Local)
Prediction 39.99%2.50fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.500%
Kelly -0.841%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.36%40.06%39.90%43.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.4747.62%44.61%44.44%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rheindorf Altach (Visit)
Prediction 29.90%3.34fair odd
EV +0.176%
Edge +0.053%
Kelly +0.075%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%29.87%29.91%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.123.103.3535.71%32.04%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.11%3.32fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.92%30.07%30.20%31.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.063.093.2237.04%32.71%32.36%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sturm Graz (Local): 39.99%; Rheindorf Altach (Visit): 29.90%; Draw: 30.11%. For Rheindorf Altach (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.176%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -1.32%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -1.32%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -1.32%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -1.32%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%EV -6.03%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.29%EV -1.92%E -0.584%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.83%EV -3.04%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -3.11%E -0.961%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -7.26%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -3.11%E -0.961%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -7.26%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.68%EV -2.44%E -0.998%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.16%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 30.16%EV -3.34%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -12.03%E -5.47%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.03%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -6.03%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.74%EV -8.43%E -3.68%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.03%EV -9.39%E -3.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 30.23%EV -9.37%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 15:57 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.88%EV -12.83%E -5.89%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.41%EV -9.39%E -3.10%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-08 15:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -1.24%E -0.500%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.65%EV -9.99%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.83%E -3.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.28%E -4.61%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -14.03%E -6.53%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.17%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -14.03%E -6.53%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -12.03%E -5.47%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -15.69%E -5.60%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -16.27%E -5.81%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.69%E -5.60%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -16.27%E -5.81%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -18.70%E -6.93%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 1.6% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01% | 2.4% | 2026-03-08 16:00 |