La escuela de los momios

Sturm Graz v Rheindorf Altach

Inicio: 2026-03-08 16:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sturm Graz (Local)

Predicción 39.99%2.50momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.500%
Kelly -0.841%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.36%40.06%39.90%43.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.4747.62%44.61%44.44%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rheindorf Altach (Visitante)

Predicción 29.90%3.34momio equitativo
EV +0.176%
Ventaja +0.053%
Kelly +0.075%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%29.87%29.91%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.123.103.3535.71%32.04%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.11%3.32momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -0.945%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.92%30.07%30.20%31.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.063.093.2237.04%32.71%32.36%31.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -1.32%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -1.32%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:00
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -1.32%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -1.32%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 15:59
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%EV -6.03%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.29%EV -1.92%E -0.584%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.83%EV -3.04%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 15:59
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -3.11%E -0.961%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -7.26%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:59
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -3.11%E -0.961%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -7.26%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.68%EV -2.44%E -0.998%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.16%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.16%EV -3.34%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 15:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -12.03%E -5.47%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.03%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 15:59
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 16:00
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 15:59
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -6.03%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 16:00
Codere (IT)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Suprabets2.29I 43.67%NM 39.74%EV -8.43%E -3.68%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.03%EV -9.39%E -3.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.23%EV -9.37%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 15:57
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.88%EV -12.83%E -5.89%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.41%EV -9.39%E -3.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 15:58
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -1.24%E -0.500%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.65%EV -9.99%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.83%E -3.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 16:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.28%E -4.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 16:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -14.03%E -6.53%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.17%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 15:59
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -14.03%E -6.53%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-08 15:59
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -12.03%E -5.47%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -15.69%E -5.60%K -8.72%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -16.27%E -5.81%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.69%E -5.60%K -8.72%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-08 15:59
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -16.27%E -5.81%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -18.70%E -6.93%K -11.00%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-08 16:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.6%2026-03-08 16:00
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-03-08 16:00
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01%2.4%2026-03-08 16:00