Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sturm Graz v Rheindorf Altach

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 16:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sturm Graz (Local)

Prévision 39.99%2.50cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.500%
Kelly -0.841%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.36%40.06%39.90%43.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.252.4747.62%44.61%44.44%40.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rheindorf Altach (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.90%3.34cote équitable
EV +0.176%
Avantage +0.053%
Kelly +0.075%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%29.87%29.91%31.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.123.103.3535.71%32.04%32.26%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.11%3.32cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -0.945%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.92%30.07%30.20%31.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.063.093.2237.04%32.71%32.36%31.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sturm Graz (Local) : 39.99% ; Rheindorf Altach (Visiteur) : 29.90% ; Match nul : 30.11%. Pour Rheindorf Altach (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.34. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.35, soit une espérance positive de +0.176%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -15.23%E -7.18%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV +0.176%E +0.053%K +0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 15:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -1.32%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -1.32%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:00
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -1.32%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -1.32%E -0.400%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 15:59
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.88%EV -6.03%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.29%EV -1.92%E -0.584%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.83%EV -3.04%E -0.945%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -3.11%E -0.961%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -7.26%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.39%EV -3.11%E -0.961%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.92%EV -7.26%E -2.36%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.68%EV -2.44%E -0.998%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.16%EV -4.01%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.16%EV -3.34%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 15:59
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -4.04%E -1.68%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.31%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -12.03%E -5.47%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.03%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:59
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 15:59
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 16:00
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -4.83%E -2.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 15:59
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -6.03%E -2.57%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 16:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Suprabets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.74%EV -8.43%E -3.68%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.03%EV -9.39%E -3.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.23%EV -9.37%E -3.11%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 15:57
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.88%EV -12.83%E -5.89%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.41%EV -9.39%E -3.10%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-08 15:58
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -1.24%E -0.500%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.65%EV -9.99%E -3.32%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 15:59
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.03%E -3.49%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.64%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -8.83%E -3.87%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 16:00
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -13.28%E -4.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 16:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -14.03%E -6.53%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.17%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-08 15:59
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -14.03%E -6.53%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-08 15:59
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -12.03%E -5.47%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -15.69%E -5.60%K -8.72%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -10.03%E -4.46%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -16.27%E -5.81%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -15.69%E -5.60%K -8.72%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-08 15:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.56%EV -16.03%E -7.63%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.67%EV -16.27%E -5.81%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.77%EV -18.70%E -6.93%K -11.00%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-08 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%1.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.6%2026-03-08 16:00
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-03-08 16:00
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01%2.4%2026-03-08 16:00