Школа коэффициентов

Sturm Graz v Rapid Wien

Начало: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Итог: Sturm Graz 2–0 Rapid Wien

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

49 букмекерских контор (14 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Sturm Graz (Хозяева)

Прогноз 47.04%2.13справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.98%
Преимущество -2.46%
Kelly -4.88%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.02

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.57%47.18%47.06%49.35%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.781.921.912.0256.18%52.07%52.36%49.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Rapid Wien (Гости)

Прогноз 26.96%3.71справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.44%
Преимущество +0.641%
Kelly +0.870%
Рост +0.021%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.06%26.83%26.98%28.01%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.503.463.8032.26%28.60%28.90%26.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.00%3.85справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.49%
Преимущество -0.665%
Kelly -0.906%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.63%25.99%25.96%28.18%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.483.453.7533.33%28.75%28.99%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 02:50
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 02:50
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 02:50
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 02:50
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 02:50
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 02:50
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 02:50
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 02:50
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 02:50
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.22%EV -13.44%E -7.31%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV +1.09%E +0.290%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 02:50
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.22%EV -13.44%E -7.31%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV +1.09%E +0.290%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 02:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -13.91%E -7.60%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV +1.09%E +0.290%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 02:50
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -13.91%E -7.60%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV +1.09%E +0.290%K +0.396%G +0.004%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 02:50
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -16.27%E -9.14%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -1.61%E -0.440%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 02:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.95%E -0.821%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 07:19
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.95%E -0.821%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:20
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.95%E -0.821%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:20
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.30%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:46
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:25
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 07:29
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 07:30
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.86%E -3.46%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 07:40
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:20
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -4.98%E -2.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.26%EV -5.92%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.64%EV -3.53%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.06%EV -6.39%E -3.21%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.07%EV -6.73%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.87%EV -5.87%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 07:46
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 07:41
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.86%E -3.46%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:35
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -9.68%E -5.04%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.35%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 07:37
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.62%E -5.59%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.35%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 07:20
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.97%E -7.01%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.35%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 07:20
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.97%E -7.01%K -15.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.35%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 07:21
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.98%E -2.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:25
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.98%E -2.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 07:25
Suprabets1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -7.80%E -3.98%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:28
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -2.49%E -0.665%K -0.906%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 07:25
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -8.74%E -4.51%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 07:41
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:46
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:46
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 07:46
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 07:40
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 07:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 07:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 07:40
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -12.50%E -6.72%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-17 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.91%E -7.60%K -16.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -21.99%E -7.33%K -11.00%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-17 07:21
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -6.86%E -3.46%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 07:25
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -11.56%E -6.15%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -13.74%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 07:35
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-17 07:41
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%1.9%2026-05-17 08:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83%1.9%2026-05-17 08:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74%2.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%3.1%2026-05-17 08:10