L’École des cotesFrançais
Sturm Graz v Rapid Wien
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sturm Graz (Local)
Prévision 47.04%2.13cote équitable
EV -4.98%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -4.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.57%47.18%47.06%49.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.921.912.0256.18%52.07%52.36%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Rapid Wien (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.96%3.71cote équitable
EV +2.44%
Avantage +0.641%
Kelly +0.870%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.06%26.83%26.98%28.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.503.463.8032.26%28.60%28.90%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.00%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -0.665%
Kelly -0.906%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.63%25.99%25.96%28.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.483.453.7533.33%28.75%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.22%EV -13.44%E -7.31%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV +1.09%E +0.290%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.22%EV -13.44%E -7.31%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV +1.09%E +0.290%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -13.91%E -7.60%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV +1.09%E +0.290%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -13.91%E -7.60%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV +1.09%E +0.290%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -16.27%E -9.14%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -1.61%E -0.440%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-17 02:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.95%E -0.821%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 07:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.95%E -0.821%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.95%E -0.821%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.30%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 07:46 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 07:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.86%E -3.46%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -4.98%E -2.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.26%EV -5.92%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.64%EV -3.53%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 07:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.06%EV -6.39%E -3.21%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.07%EV -6.73%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.87%EV -5.87%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 07:46 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 07:41 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.86%E -3.46%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -9.68%E -5.04%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.35%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 07:37 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.62%E -5.59%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.35%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.97%E -7.01%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.35%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.97%E -7.01%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.35%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-17 07:21 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.98%E -2.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.98%E -2.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Suprabets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -7.80%E -3.98%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 07:28 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -2.49%E -0.665%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -8.74%E -4.51%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 07:41 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 07:46 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 07:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 07:46 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 07:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -12.50%E -6.72%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.91%E -7.60%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -21.99%E -7.33%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-17 07:21 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -6.86%E -3.46%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -11.56%E -6.15%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -13.74%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-17 07:41 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 08:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 08:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87% | 3.1% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |